Prediction Results 2020-21

[LongIslandZagFan]

Zags win over Iowa 99-88!!!

Third straight game where we have gotten the average score in the 30s... 31.1818. Impressive. Take out the naysayers (although at times leading up to the game I thought about posting a revised score flipped towards Iowa) and we'd have been in the 20s.

Lets break it down some. We shorted the Zags by 6.84. We shorted the Hawkeyes by 1.2055. Spread we came up short by 2.0545.

Here are the means:

Zags 92.1591
Iowa 86.7045
Spread 8.0455

Winner for the Iowa game was Spink! A mere Zag FT from perfection! Second was TravelinZag. GonzagasaurusFlex took third!

Super Honorable Mention (sub 10) goes to GU69

Honorable mentions (sub 20) goes to slew of folks (in ranking order): BayAreaZagFan, titopoet, willandi, Reborn, JPW314159, Martin Center Mad Man, Sarenyon, GonzagaFan62, and zag buddy

Here are the full standings:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Spink	98	88	10	1	0	1	0	3
2	TravelinZag	98	89	9	1	1	2	0	6
3	GonzagasaurausFlex	97	87	10	2	1	1	0	7
4	GU69	96	88	8	3	0	3	0	9
5	BayAreaZagFan	102	87	15	3	1	4	0	12
6	titopoet	103	89	14	4	1	3	0	13
7	willandi	95	87	8	4	1	3	0	13
8	Reborn	101	92	9	2	4	2	0	14
9	JPW314159	101	85	16	2	3	5	0	15
10	Martin Center Mad Man	95	89	6	4	1	5	0	15
11	Sarenyon	94	87	7	5	1	4	0	16
12	GonzagaFan62	105	88	17	6	0	6	0	18
13	zag buddy	104	92	12	5	4	1	0	19
14	Zaga	93	86	7	6	2	4	0	20
15	WenatcheeZag	93	89	4	6	1	7	0	21
16	Zags11	92	87	5	7	1	6	0	22
17	ArchaeaBYU	101	95	6	2	7	5	0	23
18	LongIslandZagFan	92	85	7	7	3	4	0	24
19	Kiddwell	93	81	12	6	7	1	0	27
20	77Zag	92	81	11	7	7	0	0	28
21	BigBlahla	92	81	11	7	7	0	0	28
22	GonzaGAW	91	83	8	8	5	3	0	29
23	ZagzKrak	102	97	5	3	9	6	0	30
24	TexasZagFan	95	94	1	4	6	10	0	30
25	spike_jr	90	85	5	9	3	6	0	30
26	Zag67	102	80	22	3	8	11	0	33
27	Kitzbuel	89	85	4	10	3	7	0	33
28	MyZags	88	84	4	11	4	7	0	37
29	Zag365	88	83	5	11	5	6	0	38
30	BogoZags	88	82	6	11	6	5	0	39
31	All Weather Fan	88	81	7	11	7	4	0	40
32	ZagsGoZags	88	81	7	11	7	4	0	40
33	CdAZagFan	87	81	6	12	7	5	0	43
34	Malastein	105	101	4	6	13	7	0	45
35	ZagsObserver	86	82	4	13	6	7	0	45
36	upan8th	82	88	6	17	0	5	10	49
37	MTZag03	83	90	7	16	2	4	10	50
38	gonstu	81	88	7	18	0	4	10	50
39	zagsfanforlife	79	88	9	20	0	2	10	52
40	phxfireflames	88	99	11	11	11	0	10	54
41	Mr. Vulture	80	85	5	19	3	6	10	60
42	RenoZag	79	85	6	20	3	5	10	61
43	JoeysZag	78	84	6	21	4	5	10	65
44	White lightning	81	76	5	18	12	6	0	66

As always, I am human, I make mistakes... If I missed you, made a typo, what have you... please let me know so I can fix the data!

[LongIslandZagFan]

How do we want to handle the second NWS game? We use the same scores twice? Skip the second and move on UVA? Do it the same way as always?

[zag67]

Use the same score twice. But either is fine and thanks for your work.

[willandi]

Use the same score twice. But either is fine and thanks for your work.

Yes. Use the same scores twice. That will be easier for you. Thank you.

[LongIslandZagFan]

Such a weird scheduling quirk

[willandi]

Such a weird scheduling quirk

Eastern WA is playing (has played/will play) 2 games against Northern Arizona, big sky games, on back to back nights and it sounded like both games would be in Flaggstaff.

I could have heard wrong. I don't hear very well.

I just looked and it's weird there too. The first game, Fri night, was cancelled and the Eagles won the next night.

[LongIslandZagFan]

Results tonight or tomorrow AM... depends how grocery shopping goes today and tonight.

[LongIslandZagFan]

Results tonight or tomorrow AM... depends how grocery shopping goes today and tonight.

Yeah.... didn’t happen. Sorry. 26th morning it will be.

Wishing all you predictors out there the happiest of holidays!!!

GO ZAGS!!

[LongIslandZagFan]

Good morning sunshines!!!! Thanks so much for your patience on this.

Zags win game 1 over NW State 95-57!

Average score on this one was 42.2973... definitely took a turn from direction where we were on. Let's break it down.

We overshot the Zags by 11.08. We also overshot the Demons by 9.78. Spread we were over by 4.297

Here are the means:

Zags 106.0811
NWST 63.7838
Spread 42.2973

Winner for the first NW St game is... Spink!!! Second by tie breaks goes to upan8th. Third goes to Bigblahla! No HMs this round.

Here are the full standings.

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Spink	99	61	38	4	4	0	0	16
2	upan8th	98	62	36	3	5	2	0	18
3	BigBlahla	101	57	44	6	0	6	0	18
4	ProVeeZag	101	62	39	6	5	1	0	23
5	Mr. Vulture	90	60	30	5	3	8	0	24
6	WenatcheeZag	103	61	42	8	4	4	0	28
7	Bocco	104	62	42	9	5	4	0	32
8	Zagmatic	104	62	42	9	5	4	0	32
9	LongIslandZagFan	105	59	46	10	2	8	0	32
10	77Zag	105	60	45	10	3	7	0	33
11	Zags11	94	68	26	1	11	12	0	36
12	Zag67	105	63	42	10	6	4	0	36
13	GU69	102	67	35	7	10	3	0	37
14	JPW314159	106	61	45	11	4	7	0	37
15	Reborn	107	58	49	12	1	11	0	37
16	White lightning	103	67	36	8	10	2	0	38
17	ZagzKrak	103	67	36	8	10	2	0	38
18	willandi	105	65	40	10	8	2	0	38
19	spike_jr	106	63	43	11	6	5	0	39
20	GonzagasaurausFlex	97	70	27	2	13	11	0	41
21	BayAreaZagFan	107	62	45	12	5	7	0	41
22	GonzagaFan62	104	68	36	9	11	2	0	42
23	Martin Center Mad Man	104	68	36	9	11	2	0	42
24	ZagsGoZags	106	67	39	11	10	1	0	43
25	TravelinZag	107	65	42	12	8	4	0	44
26	ZagsObserver	108	62	46	13	5	8	0	44
27	All Weather Fan	108	63	45	13	6	7	0	45
28	RenoZag	105	70	35	10	13	3	0	49
29	Kiddwell	109	54	55	14	3	17	0	51
30	GonzaGAW	111	61	50	16	4	12	0	52
31	BogoZags	110	66	44	15	9	6	0	54
32	Kitzbuel	112	62	50	17	5	12	0	56
33	MyZags	114	64	50	19	7	12	0	64
34	Zaga	114	65	49	19	8	11	0	65
35	Malastein	120	65	55	25	8	17	0	83
36	rennis	118	78	40	23	21	2	0	90
37	TexasZagFan	130	65	65	35	8	27	0	113

If I missed you, messed up your score, etc... let me know so standings and data can be updated.

[LongIslandZagFan]

Zags win game 2 against NW State 95-78!

Yeah... the trend on these two game are heading the wrong direction. Average score on game 2... 65.0789. Look at it this way... we've had averages in the 100s... so we got that going for us... I think. Break down time.

We overshot the Zags by 7 on the dot. We undershot the Demons by 14.02. Spread undershot by 21.02... ouch.

Here are the means:

Zags 102.0000
NWST 63.9737
Spread 38.0263

PERFECTION!!!!! First place and first perfect score of the season goes to ZAGA!!! This is Zaga's third perfection since we've been doing this. Second goes to Zags11. Gonzagasaurusflex rounds out the top 3. No HMs this round either you ruffians.



Here are the full standings:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Zaga	95	78	17	0	0	0	0	0
2	Zags11	100	74	26	5	4	9	0	27
3	GonzagasaurausFlex	97	70	27	2	8	10	0	30
4	BigBlahla	96	67	29	1	11	12	0	36
5	RenoZag	93	66	27	2	12	10	0	38
6	zag buddy	95	65	30	0	13	13	0	39
7	ProVeeZag	96	66	30	1	12	13	0	39
8	Mr. Vulture	96	65	31	1	13	14	0	42
9	Kitzbuel	93	63	30	2	15	13	0	47
10	BogoZags	92	62	30	3	16	13	0	51
11	White lightning	99	64	35	4	14	18	0	54
12	GU69	102	67	35	7	11	18	0	54
13	Bocco	97	61	36	2	17	19	0	57
14	upan8th	98	62	36	3	16	19	0	57
15	Zag67	103	67	36	8	11	19	0	57
16	ZagzKrak	103	67	36	8	11	19	0	57
17	GonzagaFan62	104	68	36	9	10	19	0	57
18	Martin Center Mad Man	104	68	36	9	10	19	0	57
19	BayAreaZagFan	85	62	23	10	16	6	0	58
20	WenatcheeZag	98	60	38	3	18	21	0	63
21	Spink	93	57	36	2	21	19	0	65
22	All Weather Fan	99	60	39	4	18	22	0	66
23	ZagsGoZags	106	67	39	11	11	22	0	66
24	77Zag	100	60	40	5	18	23	0	69
25	willandi	105	65	40	10	13	23	0	69
26	rennis	118	78	40	23	0	23	0	69
27	Zagmatic	104	62	42	9	16	25	0	75
28	TravelinZag	103	60	43	8	18	26	0	78
29	spike_jr	106	63	43	11	15	26	0	78
30	JPW314159	106	61	45	11	17	28	0	84
31	ZagsObserver	109	64	45	14	14	28	0	84
32	LongIslandZagFan	105	59	46	10	19	29	0	87
33	Reborn	102	54	48	7	24	31	0	93
34	GonzaGAW	101	51	50	6	27	33	0	99
35	MyZags	114	64	50	19	14	33	0	99
36	Kiddwell	109	54	55	14	24	38	0	114
37	Malastein	120	65	55	25	13	38	0	114
38	TexasZagFan	130	65	65	35	13	48	0	144

If I missed you, messed up your score, etc... let me know so standings and data can be updated.

[Zaga]

Go Zags!!!

Perfection is Sweet...

[LongIslandZagFan]

Zags win 95-78!!!

While I was doing the data entry... I thought this was going to be an ugly one... interestingly enough... not as bad as second Northwestern St. game. Average score for this game was 55.5000

Lets break it down.

We were way off on the Zags coming in 15.619 under. We were a touch closer on the Hoos, undershooting them by about 3.89. Spread naturally came in undershot as well by 6.5

Here are the means:

Zags 79.3810
UVA 70.1190
Spread 10.5000

Winner and the only sub-20 score goes to bueanaparkzag! Second goes to upan8th. Third goes to MyZags. No HMs this time around

Here are the full standings

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	buenaparkzag	91	75	16	4	3	1	0	15
2	upan8th	90	73	17	5	5	0	0	20
3	MyZags	88	76	12	7	2	5	0	23
4	GrizZag	90	71	19	5	7	2	0	26
5	Zaga	89	71	18	6	7	1	0	27
6	ZagzKrak	87	72	15	8	6	2	0	30
7	zag buddy	85	76	9	10	2	8	0	32
8	BogoZags	84	74	10	11	4	7	0	37
9	All Weather Fan	83	76	7	12	2	10	0	38
10	Zag67	87	67	20	8	11	3	0	41
11	BigBlahla	83	72	11	12	6	6	0	42
12	BayAreaZagFan	84	68	16	11	10	1	0	43
13	zagsfanforlife	82	73	9	13	5	8	0	44
14	JPW314159	83	68	15	12	10	2	0	46
15	Reborn	82	71	11	13	7	6	0	46
16	Stache	82	71	11	13	7	6	0	46
17	willandi	85	65	20	10	13	3	0	49
18	ZagsObserver	82	67	15	13	11	2	0	50
19	Martin Center Mad Man	80	72	8	15	6	9	0	51
20	Kiddwell	88	63	25	7	15	8	0	52
21	WenatcheeZag	80	70	10	15	8	7	0	53
22	Zags11	81	65	16	14	13	1	0	55
23	GonzagaFan62	77	76	1	18	2	16	0	56
24	GonzaGAW	79	69	10	16	9	7	0	57
25	GonzagasaurausFlex	80	65	15	15	13	2	0	58
26	Sarenyon	76	71	5	19	7	12	0	64
27	DZ	77	67	10	18	11	7	0	65
28	spike_jr	76	69	7	19	9	10	0	66
29	GU69	77	64	13	18	14	4	0	68
30	Bocco	75	68	7	20	10	10	0	70
31	White lightning	74	71	3	21	7	14	0	70
32	Mr. Vulture	73	76	3	22	2	14	10	72
33	Markburn1	74	67	7	21	11	10	0	74
34	phxfireflames	71	76	5	24	2	12	10	74
35	Stevet75	72	68	4	23	10	13	0	79
36	gonstu	71	74	3	24	4	14	10	80
37	Kitzbuel	72	65	7	23	13	10	0	82
38	LongIslandZagFan	72	64	8	23	14	9	0	83
39	77Zag	64	75	11	31	3	6	10	84
40	RenoZag	69	73	4	26	5	13	10	85
41	Malastein	70	65	5	25	13	12	0	88
42	ZagsGoZags	69	66	3	26	12	14	0	90

I make mistakes from time to time... please check your scores and make sure I didn't leave you off or mess up your scores.

[JPW314159]

Final score of the game was 98-75 not 95-78. (Not a prediction correction.)

[LongIslandZagFan]

Yeah... my bad on that one. Because it was so similar to the previous score, at first glance I thought I had already updated the top of the sheet. It has a big impact on the top 3. My bad... updates coming soon.

[LongIslandZagFan]

OK... lets do this the correct way.

With the correct final score... regretfully our average score went up about 10% to 61.3571.

Still undershot the Zags, but now by 18.619. We undershot the Hoos by 4.881. Spread we were off by 12.5

Means don't change... but here they are again:

Zags 79.3810
UVA 70.1190
Spread 10.5000

buenaparkzag still gets the win and upan8th is still second. Regretfully that took MyZags down to 5th and GrizZag moved up into third. Still no HMs

Revised standings are below... Thanks JPW for catching my error!

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	buenaparkzag	91	75	16	7	0	7	0	21
2	upan8th	90	73	17	8	2	6	0	26
3	GrizZag	90	71	19	8	4	4	0	28
4	Zaga	89	71	18	9	4	5	0	31
5	MyZags	88	76	12	10	1	11	0	33
6	ZagzKrak	87	72	15	11	3	8	0	36
7	Zag67	87	67	20	11	8	3	0	41
8	zag buddy	85	76	9	13	1	14	0	42
9	BogoZags	84	74	10	14	1	13	0	43
10	Kiddwell	88	63	25	10	12	2	0	46
11	All Weather Fan	83	76	7	15	1	16	0	48
12	BigBlahla	83	72	11	15	3	12	0	48
13	willandi	85	65	20	13	10	3	0	49
14	BayAreaZagFan	84	68	16	14	7	7	0	49
15	zagsfanforlife	82	73	9	16	2	14	0	50
16	JPW314159	83	68	15	15	7	8	0	52
17	Reborn	82	71	11	16	4	12	0	52
18	Stache	82	71	11	16	4	12	0	52
19	ZagsObserver	82	67	15	16	8	8	0	56
20	Martin Center Mad Man	80	72	8	18	3	15	0	57
21	WenatcheeZag	80	70	10	18	5	13	0	59
22	Zags11	81	65	16	17	10	7	0	61
23	GonzaGAW	79	69	10	19	6	13	0	63
24	GonzagasaurausFlex	80	65	15	18	10	8	0	64
25	GonzagaFan62	77	76	1	21	1	22	0	66
26	Sarenyon	76	71	5	22	4	18	0	70
27	DZ	77	67	10	21	8	13	0	71
28	spike_jr	76	69	7	22	6	16	0	72
29	GU69	77	64	13	21	11	10	0	74
30	Bocco	75	68	7	23	7	16	0	76
31	White lightning	74	71	3	24	4	20	0	76
32	Markburn1	74	67	7	24	8	16	0	80
33	Mr. Vulture	73	76	3	25	1	20	10	82
34	phxfireflames	71	76	5	27	1	18	10	84
35	Stevet75	72	68	4	26	7	19	0	85
36	gonstu	71	74	3	27	1	20	10	86
37	Kitzbuel	72	65	7	26	10	16	0	88
38	LongIslandZagFan	72	64	8	26	11	15	0	89
39	77Zag	64	75	11	34	0	12	10	90
40	RenoZag	69	73	4	29	2	19	10	91
41	Malastein	70	65	5	28	10	18	0	94
42	ZagsGoZags	69	66	3	29	9	20	0	96