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Thread: Dons @ Zags: Head to Head

  1. #1
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    Default Dons @ Zags: Head to Head

    The University of San Francisco Dons (17-10, 6-6), having fought and lost a close one to the Zags 83-79 at home, now come to the Kennel for the rematch. Since that loss, the Dons have gone 1-2, losing to Pacific and @BYU, and besting @SCU. USF sits in 6th place in the WCC, six games back from the Zags. The Zags are on a very impressive 18-game win streak and are unbeaten since December 4.



    source: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-ba...ogs-2020-02-20


    The Dons are currently ranked #88 on KenPom (#64 offense, #128 defense), which is a couple of spots higher than snake-bitten UNC. By efficiency (rather than standings), they rank as the #4 best team in the WCC, and they have a positive margin of win. Tempo is slightly on the faster side at #128.

    USF is very good at denying assists, and they are #8 in the nation in denying 3-pt attempts per game. Despite the fact that opponents rarely shoot 3s against them, they are one of the worst teams in the nation in opponent 3pt%, with opponents making nearly 40% (#348). They are top 40 in denying offensive rebounds, so the Zags need to make the most of their shots.

    The Zags come out on top in terms of the four factors to winning basketball.

    Torvik predicts an 88-70 win for the home team.

    As a prelude to the monster game vs. BYU Saturday night, the Zags best not overlook the team that took them closest to a loss in conference.







  2. #2
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    USF coach was upset after the game because his big man, Jimbo Lull, only played about twelve minutes because of foul trouble. He even went so far as to say that the Zags had nobody that could guard him and the game may have had a different outcome if he had played more minutes. Look for the Dons to try to play a bit through Lull early. Watch for Ayayi, Woolridge and Gilder to dig down as soon as Lull catches. Not necessarily a double team, just something to disrupt a dribble.

    The game in San Francisco was played a little off kilter by the Zags. Tillie was out because he sprained his ankle two days prior. Only one day of prep to adjust to his absence. Perhaps the fifteen turnovers resulted from forcing other players to be a bigger part of the game plan with little to no preparation time. Tillie is just as valuable on defense as he is on offense. His ability to switch onto smaller players is a big advantage for his team. Giving up 79 points in San Francisco was a direct result of Killian being MIA.

    Timme had a breakout game against USF, taking advantage of Tillie's absence so in the long run the extra minutes and responsibility for Drew in that game will bode well as the Zags hit the stretch run.

    I'm confident Tillie will play in this one. Finally the Zags may be at full strength. I would love to see the special ballet they are capable of. Just win this one and roll into Salt Lake like the Big Dogs that they are.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Markburn1 View Post
    USF coach was upset after the game because his big man, Jimbo Lull, only played about twelve minutes because of foul trouble. He even went so far as to say that the Zags had nobody that could guard him and the game may have had a different outcome if he had played more minutes. Look for the Dons to try to play a bit through Lull early. Watch for Ayayi, Woolridge and Gilder to dig down as soon as Lull catches. Not necessarily a double team, just something to disrupt a dribble.

    The game in San Francisco was played a little off kilter by the Zags. Tillie was out because he sprained his ankle two days prior. Only one day of prep to adjust to his absence. Perhaps the fifteen turnovers resulted from forcing other players to be a bigger part of the game plan with little to no preparation time. Tillie is just as valuable on defense as he is on offense. His ability to switch onto smaller players is a big advantage for his team. Giving up 79 points in San Francisco was a direct result of Killian being MIA.

    Timme had a breakout game against USF, taking advantage of Tillie's absence so in the long run the extra minutes and responsibility for Drew in that game will bode well as the Zags hit the stretch run.

    I'm confident Tillie will play in this one. Finally the Zags may be at full strength. I would love to see the special ballet they are capable of. Just win this one and roll into Salt Lake like the Big Dogs that they are.
    The real problem was that Lull couldn't guard the Zags.

    He better be careful or the Zags will sic Pavel on him.

    I'm not worried. Feed Filip and Lull will either foul out again or Filip will have another monster game.
    The game is played at both ends of the court, so not being able to guard Lull is only half the story.
    At least someone, somewhere, is laughing.

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by willandi View Post
    The real problem was that Lull couldn't guard the Zags.

    He better be careful or the Zags will sic Pavel on him.

    I'm not worried. Feed Filip and Lull will either foul out again or Filip will have another monster game.
    The game is played at both ends of the court, so not being able to guard Lull is only half the story.
    Great point.

  5. #5
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    Odds for tonight's game are GU -17.0 T: 155.5.

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