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Thread: COVID-19 - Links, Discussion,

  1. #1
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    Default COVID-19 - Links, Discussion,

    Seattle resident has created this real time data base.

    https://ncov2019.live/data

  2. #2
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    They're not even testing for it here, that's the scary part to me. It's not going to be a problem until it's a huge problem. I'm hoping our schools do the same as the surrounding states and cancel for the next two weeks so we can stay home.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jazzgirl_127 View Post
    They're not even testing for it here, that's the scary part to me. It's not going to be a problem until it's a huge problem. I'm hoping our schools do the same as the surrounding states and cancel for the next two weeks so we can stay home.
    I was/am thinking of being by appt. only for 2 weeks, getting all my jobs caught up and completed...but unless they also waive utility bills for two weeks, it would be a rough go.
    Hoping you have a sense of humor too!

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    Quote Originally Posted by willandi View Post
    I was/am thinking of being by appt. only for 2 weeks, getting all my jobs caught up and completed...but unless they also waive utility bills for two weeks, it would be a rough go.
    I completely understand, and think that's a good idea. I hope there is something they can do to ease the burden this is putting on small businesses. Some of our local shops are doing call ahead orders so that it cuts down on being face to face and also lets them know how much they need to have in stock so they don't over produce.

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    Useful info in that link. Thanks, Zagceo.

    Not the kind of scoreboard we thought we would be watching in March 2020.

    Stay safe.

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    Quote Originally Posted by willandi View Post
    I was/am thinking of being by appt. only for 2 weeks, getting all my jobs caught up and completed...but unless they also waive utility bills for two weeks, it would be a rough go.
    Hoping you have a sense of humor too!

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    From Dr Fauci reported in New England Journal of Medicine

    This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2
    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zagceo View Post
    From Dr Fauci reported in New England Journal of Medicine



    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
    Cherry picking season. Here’s the entire paragraph.

    On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zagceo View Post
    Seattle resident has created this real time data base.

    https://ncov2019.live/data
    That Seattle resident is a 17 year old computer prodigy from Mercer Island. Pretty amazing. He began his site in December.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by LTownZag View Post
    That Seattle resident is a 17 year old computer prodigy from Mercer Island. Pretty amazing. He began his site in December.
    There was another Mercer Island child computer prodigy who had some things to say on epidemics:

    https://www.youtube.com/results?sear...next+pandemic+
    Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.
    Mark Twain.

  11. #11
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    Even with the increased availability of testing the US mortality rate is increasing. I use the Johns Hopkins site to track: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6.

    The rate has steadily climbed from below 1% last week to above 2% this week.
    'I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay… small acts of kindness and love.'
    - Gandalf the Grey

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    Quote Originally Posted by kitzbuel View Post
    Even with the increased availability of testing the US mortality rate is increasing. I use the Johns Hopkins site to track: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6.

    The rate has steadily climbed from below 1% last week to above 2% this week.

    Keep in mind the death rate is an echo of the new infections. In NY, the new infections from about 10 days ago were spiking... I think the increase in the death rate is likely a reflection of that spike. The rate of new infections is slowing some. Growth rates last week were ranging from 23-42% per day. Last three days has been at about 12-14%. Now, mind you, that is day to to growth of infections so it is a LARGE number. But it is slowing some.

    The scary thing is that the "spike" last week was numbering in the 1-2K range.... and that one is taxing NY heavily now. The current growth is 7-8K per day in NY. In other words, NY is adding per day more than the total of that initial spike. The lack of equipment is going to cost a ton of lives. I have a friend that is a nurse on those front lines... she likely has it now. Nurses and docs are dropping like flies due to lack of PPE... I shudder to think what the next couple weeks are going to bring here... It will likely shock everyone to the core. Whatever you THINK it will be, it will likely pale in comparison to reality.

    FYI... foo is the only place I am ever going to post until likely the summer... and even that is going to be rare.
    "And Morrison? He did what All-Americans do. He shot daggers in the daylight and stole a win." - Steve Kelley (Seattle Times)

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    Quote Originally Posted by LongIslandZagFan View Post
    Keep in mind the death rate is an echo of the new infections. In NY, the new infections from about 10 days ago were spiking... I think the increase in the death rate is likely a reflection of that spike. The rate of new infections is slowing some. Growth rates last week were ranging from 23-42% per day. Last three days has been at about 12-14%. Now, mind you, that is day to to growth of infections so it is a LARGE number. But it is slowing some.
    Do you have a site that captures prior days' data?

    I have been following closely on https://ncov2019.live/ and it seems like USA deaths and USA new confirmed infections (not actual infections) have been risen 18-24% per day for every day of the last 7 or 8. What days had as low as 12-14 or high as 42?

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    Quote Originally Posted by LTownZag View Post
    Do you have a site that captures prior days' data?

    I have been following closely on https://ncov2019.live/ and it seems like USA deaths and USA new confirmed infections (not actual infections) have been risen 18-24% per day for every day of the last 7 or 8. What days had as low as 12-14 or high as 42?
    Wikipedia actually has some good historical data for NY state.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_c...w_York_(state)

    I'd hot link to the chart but it won't let me.

    For the record... I live in Suffolk county.
    "And Morrison? He did what All-Americans do. He shot daggers in the daylight and stole a win." - Steve Kelley (Seattle Times)

    "Gonzaga is a special place, with special people!" - Dan Dickau #21

    Foo me once shame on you, Foo me twice shame on me.

    2012 Foostrodamus - Foothsayer of Death

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by LTownZag View Post
    Do you have a site that captures prior days' data?

    I have been following closely on https://ncov2019.live/ and it seems like USA deaths and USA new confirmed infections (not actual infections) have been risen 18-24% per day for every day of the last 7 or 8. What days had as low as 12-14 or high as 42?
    Johns Hopkins puts their data out on a github site: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
    'I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay… small acts of kindness and love.'
    - Gandalf the Grey

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    Foo Time

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by LongIslandZagFan View Post
    Keep in mind the death rate is an echo of the new infections. In NY, the new infections from about 10 days ago were spiking... I think the increase in the death rate is likely a reflection of that spike. The rate of new infections is slowing some. Growth rates last week were ranging from 23-42% per day. Last three days has been at about 12-14%. Now, mind you, that is day to to growth of infections so it is a LARGE number. But it is slowing some.

    The scary thing is that the "spike" last week was numbering in the 1-2K range.... and that one is taxing NY heavily now. The current growth is 7-8K per day in NY. In other words, NY is adding per day more than the total of that initial spike. The lack of equipment is going to cost a ton of lives. I have a friend that is a nurse on those front lines... she likely has it now. Nurses and docs are dropping like flies due to lack of PPE... I shudder to think what the next couple weeks are going to bring here... It will likely shock everyone to the core. Whatever you THINK it will be, it will likely pale in comparison to reality.

    FYI... foo is the only place I am ever going to post until likely the summer... and even that is going to be rare.
    That's awful about your nurse friend becoming infected. I know here the hospitals were already extremely low on PPE by the time we had our first confirmed positive in the county (they were being told 'here's your mask for the day,' and the next day it was 'here's your mask for the week'. I made 86 fabric face masks to send to one of the nursing homes near us because they can't even buy the non-n95 masks. I'm going to keep making them to donate as long as I can get the materials but that's becoming harder and harder because places that sell what I need were closed due to being non essential.

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jazzgirl_127 View Post
    That's awful about your nurse friend becoming infected. I know here the hospitals were already extremely low on PPE by the time we had our first confirmed positive in the county (they were being told 'here's your mask for the day,' and the next day it was 'here's your mask for the week'. I made 86 fabric face masks to send to one of the nursing homes near us because they can't even buy the non-n95 masks. I'm going to keep making them to donate as long as I can get the materials but that's becoming harder and harder because places that sell what I need were closed due to being non essential.
    you can probably get a lot of that online.
    'I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay… small acts of kindness and love.'
    - Gandalf the Grey

    ________________________________



    Foo Time

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    Quote Originally Posted by kitzbuel View Post
    you can probably get a lot of that online.
    It has really long ship dates. Late May delivery. I wasn't planning to actually go into stores and shop, but even doing a curbside pickup for online orders isn't possible since they are completely shut.

  19. #19
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    CDC has a lot of data.
    Bring back the OCC

  20. #20
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    This would be pretty awesome if it's effective! https://www.upmc.com/media/news/0402...s-cov2-vaccine

    Last week was the anniversary of Salk's polio vaccine.

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jazzgirl_127 View Post
    This would be pretty awesome if it's effective! https://www.upmc.com/media/news/0402...s-cov2-vaccine

    Last week was the anniversary of Salk's polio vaccine.
    Maybe they can try testing the vaccination on tigers next!
    'I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay… small acts of kindness and love.'
    - Gandalf the Grey

    ________________________________



    Foo Time

  22. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by kitzbuel View Post
    Maybe they can try testing the vaccination on tigers next!
    Or Cougars.
    Hoping you have a sense of humor too!

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by kitzbuel View Post
    Maybe they can try testing the vaccination on tigers next!
    I saw that, that's crazy they can catch it too. They're also working on a test to test for immunity, I guess if a vaccine takes awhile at least the immunity test will let some people go back to their normal lives.

  24. #24
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    " Nurses and docs are dropping like flies due to lack of PPE... I shudder to think what the next couple weeks are going to bring here... It will likely shock everyone to the core. Whatever you THINK it will be, it will likely pale in comparison to reality. " 4/1/20 LIZ if you have other data...….post it please

    https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus...-staff-1496056

    Probably a few more in the last week. This is from 4/4/2020

  25. #25
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    In mid January, China banned travel to and from Wuhan within China, yet they allowed travel from Wuhan to other Counties. That doesn't seem like a good idea. W.H.O said masks are a bad idea back in early March. Big mistake there. China said back in March, they will let America drown in Corona Virus, that's not a very nice thing to say during a pandemic. Maybe we need to rethink a few things in the future.

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