Prediction Results 18-19

[LongIslandZagFan]

Zags win 87-49

Thinking this one was about average for us for this season (without actually running numbers). Average score was 57.2826

Lets break it down.

We did OK on the Zags score, not great, but OK. Overshot by 4.02. Killer this time around was out lack of faith in the Zags' D. Overshot FDU's score by 22.53 Spread we undershot by 13.46.

Here are the means:
Zags 91.0217
FDU 64.4783
Spread 26.5435

Snowkane for the win!!! Only one with guts enough to put FDU in the 40s and just missed the Zag score. Second goes to ZagzKrak. Third goes to spike_jr. No HMs this time around.

Here are the full standings:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Snowkane	88	46	42	1	3	4	0	12
2	ZagzKrak	95	58	37	8	9	1	0	35
3	spike_jr	88	61	27	1	12	11	0	37
4	amaronizag	92	60	32	5	11	6	0	38
5	Mr. Vulture	85	60	25	2	11	13	0	39
6	LongIslandZagFan	95	60	35	8	11	3	0	41
7	willandi	96	60	36	9	11	2	0	42
8	Reborn	91	62	29	4	13	9	0	43
9	Zag_Dad	90	63	27	3	14	11	0	45
10	BavarianZag	88	64	24	1	15	14	0	46
11	Kitzbuel	95	62	33	8	13	5	0	47
12	rennis	87	65	22	0	16	16	0	48
13	BogoZags	86	64	22	1	15	16	0	48
14	Alum08	84	62	22	3	13	16	0	48
15	BigBlahla	92	64	28	5	15	10	0	50
16	OZZY	100	60	40	13	11	2	0	50
17	Zagger	90	65	25	3	16	13	0	51
18	23dpg	91	65	26	4	16	12	0	52
19	Zags67	97	63	34	10	14	4	0	52
20	77Zag	99	63	36	12	14	2	0	54
21	basketballzag	102	60	42	15	11	4	0	56
22	gueastcoast	90	67	23	3	18	15	0	57
23	Bocco	94	66	28	7	17	10	0	58
24	ZagsGoZags	102	62	40	15	13	2	0	58
25	All Weather Fan	89	68	21	2	19	17	0	59
26	ZagNation	89	68	21	2	19	17	0	59
27	ZagsObserver	92	67	25	5	18	13	0	59
28	Radbooks	93	67	26	6	18	12	0	60
29	TexasZagFan	105	56	49	18	7	11	0	61
30	Zags11	92	68	24	5	19	14	0	62
31	caldwellzag	101	65	36	14	16	2	0	62
32	FlyZag	85	68	17	2	19	21	0	63
33	MJ777	81	64	17	6	15	21	0	63
34	WenatcheeZag	93	68	25	6	19	13	0	63
35	upan8th	90	70	20	3	21	18	0	66
36	BayAreaZagFan	102	66	36	15	17	2	0	66
37	irishzag_09	86	72	14	1	23	24	0	72
38	Stevet75	83	69	14	4	20	24	0	72
39	Bartruff1	82	68	14	5	19	24	0	72
40	White lightning	93	71	22	6	22	16	0	72
41	raise the zag	92	72	20	5	23	18	0	74
42	RenoZag	79	66	13	8	17	25	0	75
43	Zagceo	109	61	48	22	12	10	0	78
44	CdAZagFan	87	76	11	0	27	27	0	81
45	Mgadfly	84	76	8	3	27	30	0	90
46	stretch	63	58	5	24	9	33	0	99

Errors/Omissions... give me a holla!

[Zaga]

Zags win 87-49

Errors/Omissions... give me a holla!

Sent a PM

[LongIslandZagFan]

Man.... hate when I miss people. Hate it even more when it impacts the top 3. Sorry about that Zaga. Here are the revised means and standings:

Zags 91.1064
FDU 64.3191
Spread 26.7872

Snowkane still takes the crown... Zaga was second... ZagzKrak moved down to third. Spike_jr... sorry.

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Snowkane	88	46	42	1	3	4	0	12
2	Zaga	95	57	38	8	8	0	0	32
3	ZagzKrak	95	58	37	8	9	1	0	35
4	spike_jr	88	61	27	1	12	11	0	37
5	amaronizag	92	60	32	5	11	6	0	38
6	Mr. Vulture	85	60	25	2	11	13	0	39
7	LongIslandZagFan	95	60	35	8	11	3	0	41
8	willandi	96	60	36	9	11	2	0	42
9	Reborn	91	62	29	4	13	9	0	43
10	Zag_Dad	90	63	27	3	14	11	0	45
11	BavarianZag	88	64	24	1	15	14	0	46
12	Kitzbuel	95	62	33	8	13	5	0	47
13	rennis	87	65	22	0	16	16	0	48
14	BogoZags	86	64	22	1	15	16	0	48
15	Alum08	84	62	22	3	13	16	0	48
16	BigBlahla	92	64	28	5	15	10	0	50
17	OZZY	100	60	40	13	11	2	0	50
18	Zagger	90	65	25	3	16	13	0	51
19	23dpg	91	65	26	4	16	12	0	52
20	Zags67	97	63	34	10	14	4	0	52
21	77Zag	99	63	36	12	14	2	0	54
22	basketballzag	102	60	42	15	11	4	0	56
23	gueastcoast	90	67	23	3	18	15	0	57
24	Bocco	94	66	28	7	17	10	0	58
25	ZagsGoZags	102	62	40	15	13	2	0	58
26	All Weather Fan	89	68	21	2	19	17	0	59
27	ZagNation	89	68	21	2	19	17	0	59
28	ZagsObserver	92	67	25	5	18	13	0	59
29	Radbooks	93	67	26	6	18	12	0	60
30	TexasZagFan	105	56	49	18	7	11	0	61
31	Zags11	92	68	24	5	19	14	0	62
32	caldwellzag	101	65	36	14	16	2	0	62
33	FlyZag	85	68	17	2	19	21	0	63
34	MJ777	81	64	17	6	15	21	0	63
35	WenatcheeZag	93	68	25	6	19	13	0	63
36	upan8th	90	70	20	3	21	18	0	66
37	BayAreaZagFan	102	66	36	15	17	2	0	66
38	irishzag_09	86	72	14	1	23	24	0	72
39	Stevet75	83	69	14	4	20	24	0	72
40	Bartruff1	82	68	14	5	19	24	0	72
41	White lightning	93	71	22	6	22	16	0	72
42	raise the zag	92	72	20	5	23	18	0	74
43	RenoZag	79	66	13	8	17	25	0	75
44	Zagceo	109	61	48	22	12	10	0	78
45	CdAZagFan	87	76	11	0	27	27	0	81
46	Mgadfly	84	76	8	3	27	30	0	90
47	stretch	63	58	5	24	9	33	0	99

[LongIslandZagFan]

FYI... daughter's birthday tonight... no results until tomorrow.

[former1dog]

LIZF, If you can an easily determine it, who is the most accurate poster based on game predictions? If its to hard or time consuming don't bother. I'm just curious. Thanks!

[LongIslandZagFan]

LIZF, If you can an easily determine it, who is the most accurate poster based on game predictions? If its to hard or time consuming don't bother. I'm just curious. Thanks!

`
I'll do that tonight when I do that results from the prior game. Sorry... totally slipped my mind yesterday.

[former1dog]

`
I'll do that tonight when I do that results from the prior game. Sorry... totally slipped my mind yesterday.

Thanks Man!

[LongIslandZagFan]

Sorry... Sunday got away from me... tbh... totally spaced on needing to do this.

Zags win over Baylor 83-71!

OK... I knew this one was going to be a good one as I did the data entry. But man... the actual lowest average score ever. Average score was 19.6667... the only time we have collectively broken 20 points. Impressive!

As always... let us break it down... we "overshot" the Zags by 1.22 and undershot Baylor by... get this.... 0.0444. Spread of course is off by a mere 1.3111

Here are the means:

Zags 84.2222
Baylor 70.9556
Spread 13.3111

PERFECTION!!! Radbooks gets the win with a perfect score! Second goes to Zaga on tie breaker (with same score it goes to first to post). Third goes to spike_jr.

Honorable mentions are numerous... under 20 club is in order of score rank with all tie breaks taken into account: CdAZagFan,DixieZag,Stache,BigBlahla,willandi,Bartr uff1,GU69,All Weather Fan,White lightning,Zags11,Snowkane,Stevet75,Sarenyon,Zag_Da d,23dpg,rennis,jim77,BayAreaZagFan,Kitzbuel,RenoZa g,Bocco

Here are the full standings for the Baylor game:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Radbooks	83	71	12	0	0	0	0	0
2	Zaga	83	70	13	0	1	1	0	3
3	spike_jr	83	70	13	0	1	1	0	3
4	CdAZagFan	84	70	14	1	1	2	0	6
5	DixieZag	82	72	10	1	1	2	0	6
6	Stache	84	70	14	1	1	2	0	6
7	BigBlahla	85	71	14	2	0	2	0	6
8	willandi	85	70	15	2	1	3	0	9
9	Bartruff1	85	70	15	2	1	3	0	9
10	GU69	85	70	15	2	1	3	0	9
11	All Weather Fan	81	72	9	2	1	3	0	9
12	White lightning	82	68	14	1	3	2	0	10
13	Zags11	84	74	10	1	3	2	0	10
14	Snowkane	85	69	16	2	2	4	0	12
15	Stevet75	79	71	8	4	0	4	0	12
16	Sarenyon	82	67	15	1	4	3	0	13
17	Zag_Dad	81	67	14	2	4	2	0	14
18	23dpg	87	73	14	4	2	2	0	14
19	rennis	84	67	17	1	4	5	0	15
20	jim77	87	74	13	4	3	1	0	15
21	BayAreaZagFan	88	71	17	5	0	5	0	15
22	Kitzbuel	88	73	15	5	2	3	0	17
23	RenoZag	81	75	6	2	4	6	0	18
24	Bocco	82	65	17	1	6	5	0	19
25	amaronizag	84	65	19	1	6	7	0	21
26	Mr. Vulture	90	71	19	7	0	7	0	21
27	BogoZags	76	70	6	7	1	6	0	22
28	TexasZagFan	88	77	11	5	6	1	0	23
29	Reborn	83	63	20	0	8	8	0	24
30	JPW314159	85	65	20	2	6	8	0	24
31	ZagsGoZags	81	77	4	2	6	8	0	24
32	LongIslandZagFan	88	68	20	5	3	8	0	24
33	ZagzKrak	89	69	20	6	2	8	0	24
34	Zag67	90	70	20	7	1	8	0	24
35	Thespywhozaggedme	82	63	19	1	8	7	0	25
36	WenatcheeZag	87	78	9	4	7	3	0	25
37	Knotsolucky	87	79	8	4	8	4	0	28
38	GoshZagit	74	72	2	9	1	10	0	30
39	upan8th	74	73	1	9	2	11	0	33
40	MJ777	89	82	7	6	11	5	0	39
41	Zagger	90	65	25	7	6	13	0	39
42	former1dog	95	70	25	12	1	13	0	39
43	Hoopaholic	76	60	16	7	11	4	0	40
44	B Wayne	78	79	1	5	8	11	10	47
45	Martin Center Mad Man	94	87	7	11	16	5	0	59

Errors/Omissions please let me know!

[LongIslandZagFan]

Going back to F1Ds question... who is most accurate? Well two ways of looking at it... we could go by rank or by average score (note minimum of 8 games predicted which is roughly a quarter of the games).

Here is the top 10 in rank:

User	Average Rank	Games predicted
FlyZag	16.625	8
GU69	17.4688	32
Zag_Dad	18.6667	21
JPW314159	18.7143	35
amaronizag	19.1176	34
spike_jr	19.4483	29
gueastcoast	19.8182	11
LongIslandZagFan	20.2424	33
BigBlahla	20.2941	34
WenatcheeZag	20.8286	35

Here is the top 10 based on average score:

User	Average Score	Games predicted
Zag_Dad	39.7619	21
Zagricultural	43.4545	11
GU69	45.3125	32
gueastcoast	47.2727	11
caldwellzag	47.5	8
Zagregious	47.5	12
JPW314159	47.9429	35
GonzaGAW	48	17
BigBlahla	48.1765	34
amaronizag	48.3235	34

Just looking at the ones in both top 10s... you'd have tops being Zag_Dad followed really closely by GU69... borders on a toss up between the two (note I am adding top 10 ranks of the two methodologies and I am only including people on both top 10s). From there it is a tie between gueastcoast and JPW314159... then amaronizag... and then BigBlahla.

Gotta think that remaining games are going to be the deciding factor.

For the record... being a data guy... this stuff is pretty easy.

[Reborn]

If you review the predictions, I changed my prediction later on to an 11 point victory for Gonzaga 77-66, Thought you'd like to know. Thanks for all you do,

Go Zags!!!

[GonzaGAW]

- thx for the year to date top 10 lists, that must be a ton of work on your part, even with a computer to help out.

- looks like zag dad is our top dog, 2 years running.


- with big kudos to gu69, gueastcoaust, jpw, bigblahla and amaronizag, who are double top 10 finishers.

- of course we have maybe another 4 games.

[LongIslandZagFan]

If you review the predictions, I changed my prediction later on to an 11 point victory for Gonzaga 77-66, Thought you'd like to know. Thanks for all you do,

Go Zags!!!

Must have missed the change. I'll fix the data

[Radbooks]

Thanks for doing this LongIsland!! It was pretty cool when I was watching the game to know I had a chance to win.

[Zag_Dad]

Thank you LIZF for coordinating this fun challenge. It always adds a little more intrigue to the games. Kinda like fantasy football though .. there are times where I find myself hoping one of our late three doesn't fall so that my prediction is safe

GO ZAGS!

[LongIslandZagFan]

Knee deep in beer/brewery/business stuff after the game... here just long enough to say results tomorrow night (maybe in the morning if I feel particularly ambitious).