Prediction Results 18-19

[LongIslandZagFan]

I will do my darndest over the next 3 days to get prediction results up ASAP. Tourneys are NOT a fun thing other than watching them. I will put up the predictions threads without fail after the games are over though. Windows are very short... so get them in quick.

[kitzbuel]

I will do my darndest over the next 3 days to get prediction results up ASAP. Tourneys are NOT a fun thing other than watching them. I will put up the predictions threads without fail after the games are over though. Windows are very short... so get them in quick.

Somebody will have to stay on top of Francis...

[LongIslandZagFan]

Happy Turkey Day! Happy Day After We Beat Duke Day!

My Thanksgiving present for you guys... Results from Illnois game. All I have time for this AM. Will do Duke and Zona tomorrow. Will post Zona in the AM and Duke later that day.

Zags win over Illinois 84-78

Lets get down to it. Collectively... average score was 37.64 which was a slide back from the A&M game... but better than the first two.

We overshot the Zags by 6.3 points and undershot the Illini by 5.74. Spread was 12 and change off. Not our best work... not our worst. Hopefully when I analyze the next two tomorrow we'll be better.

Here are the means:

Zags 90.30
Illini 72.26
Spread 18.04

Our winner for the Illini game... GrizZag who nailed the Illini score and was a bucket off on the Zags. Second was Zagircultural andn thirs was CdAZagFan on tiebreaks. Honorable mentions to the sub-20 folks: Zags11, ProVeeZags and Psychozag

Here are the results:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	GrizZag	86	78	8	2	0	2	0	6
2	Zagricultural	87	79	8	3	1	2	0	10
3	CdAZagFan	84	74	10	0	4	4	0	12
4	Zags11	88	78	10	4	0	4	0	12
5	ProVeeZag	88	79	9	4	1	3	0	13
6	Psychozag	88	76	12	4	2	6	0	18
7	All Weather Fan	86	73	13	2	5	7	0	21
8	upan8th	87	74	13	3	4	7	0	21
9	ZagsGoZags	89	75	14	5	3	8	0	24
10	Mantua	90	76	14	6	2	8	0	24
11	GU69	90	75	15	6	3	9	0	27
12	WenatcheeZag	91	76	15	7	2	9	0	27
13	DixieZag	83	69	14	1	9	8	0	28
14	rennis	83	69	14	1	9	8	0	28
15	Stache	88	72	16	4	6	10	0	30
16	TexasZagFan	88	72	16	4	6	10	0	30
17	Zaga	91	75	16	7	3	10	0	30
18	spike_jr	92	76	16	8	2	10	0	30
19	ZagzKrak	92	76	16	8	2	10	0	30
20	Kitzbuel	89	72	17	5	6	11	0	33
21	White lightning	80	68	12	4	10	6	0	34
22	Hoopaholic	88	70	18	4	8	12	0	36
23	Zag_Dad	91	73	18	7	5	12	0	36
24	RenoZag	79	67	12	5	11	6	0	38
25	LongIslandZagFan	87	68	19	3	10	13	0	39
26	Stevet75	90	71	19	6	7	13	0	39
27	Mr. Vulture	91	72	19	7	6	13	0	39
28	TheZagPhish	91	72	19	7	6	13	0	39
29	23dpg	93	74	19	9	4	13	0	39
30	BigBlahla	94	75	19	10	3	13	0	39
31	Zagceo	89	69	20	5	9	14	0	42
32	JPW314159	90	70	20	6	8	14	0	42
33	dazags	92	72	20	8	6	14	0	42
34	TravelinZag	90	69	21	6	9	15	0	45
35	Bartruff1	94	73	21	10	5	15	0	45
36	BayAreaZagFan	95	74	21	11	4	15	0	45
37	Martin Center Mad Man	84	62	22	0	16	16	0	48
38	Radbooks	91	69	22	7	9	16	0	48
39	Bocco	94	71	23	10	7	17	0	51
40	Sarenyon	96	73	23	12	5	17	0	51
41	amaronizag	92	68	24	8	10	18	0	54
42	Reborn	93	69	24	9	9	18	0	54
43	ZenZag	93	69	24	9	9	18	0	54
44	Zagregious	95	71	24	11	7	18	0	54
45	NotoriousZ	98	74	24	14	4	18	0	54
46	Akzag	90	65	25	6	13	19	0	57
47	willandi	101	84	17	17	6	11	0	57
48	Thespywhozaggedme	96	70	26	12	8	20	0	60
49	Zagger	100	70	30	16	8	24	0	72
50	Zags67	98	67	31	14	11	25	0	75

As always, if I missed you... messed up... etc.. PM me so I can fix the underlying data.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

[Zagger]

Thanks Zag67 ..... I wasn’t last

[willandi]

Thanks Zag67 ..... I wasn’t last

Yep! I missed it too!

[LongIslandZagFan]

As promised... First installment for the day... I will post Duke tonight (although I will have the data entry done right after I am done with this)... just to add some suspense and give people a chance to absorb this one.

Let's get to it. Collective average score was 31.92. A slight improvement off the Illinois game but not close to our low mark with A&M.

Digging deeper... we undershot the Zags by a 3.65 and overshot the Wildcats by 7.11 which tightened up the spread which we undershot by 4.12

Here are the means:

Zags 87.3462
Cats 78.1154
Spread 9.8846


Our winner for the Arizona game is GonzaGAW via being the first one in with the same score as second place BayAreaZagFan. Third was Mr. Vulture. My new tradition is giving honorable mentions to anyone sub-20. Those go out to 23dpg, TravelinZag, Bigblahla, dazags, Radbooks, Zagricultural, Stevet75 and Zagceo.

Here are the standings:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	GonzaGAW	89	73	16	2	1	1	0	7
2	BayAreaZagFan	89	73	16	2	1	1	0	7
3	Mr. Vulture	91	77	14	0	3	3	0	9
4	23dpg	93	77	16	2	3	1	0	11
5	TravelinZag	89	71	18	2	3	1	0	11
6	BigBlahla	92	78	14	1	4	3	0	13
7	dazags	90	78	12	1	4	5	0	15
8	Radbooks	92	79	13	1	5	4	0	16
9	Zagricultural	91	80	11	0	6	6	0	18
10	Stevet75	88	77	11	3	3	6	0	18
11	Zagceo	85	74	11	6	0	6	0	18
12	JPW314159	90	80	10	1	6	7	0	21
13	Thespywhozaggedme	94	80	14	3	6	3	0	21
14	Akzag	98	74	24	7	0	7	0	21
15	amaronizag	86	68	18	5	6	1	0	23
16	BogoZags	87	78	9	4	4	8	0	24
17	Stache	87	78	9	4	4	8	0	24
18	Bocco	83	74	9	8	0	8	0	24
19	Reborn	84	69	15	7	5	2	0	26
20	gueastcoast	90	82	8	1	8	9	0	27
21	LongIslandZagFan	87	79	8	4	5	9	0	27
22	Zagsker	83	75	8	8	1	9	0	27
23	Sarenyon	91	84	7	0	10	10	0	30
24	WenatcheeZag	88	81	7	3	7	10	0	30
25	GU69	82	75	7	9	1	10	0	30
26	Zags67	83	67	16	8	7	1	0	31
27	NotoriousZ	100	78	22	9	4	5	0	31
28	All Weather Fan	81	73	8	10	1	9	0	31
29	Kitzbuel	81	72	9	10	2	8	0	32
30	ZenZag	91	85	6	0	11	11	0	33
31	ProVeeZag	90	84	6	1	10	11	0	33
32	Zagregious	86	80	6	5	6	11	0	33
33	Bartruff1	84	78	6	7	4	11	0	33
34	Martin Center Mad Man	84	78	6	7	4	11	0	33
35	spike_jr	82	76	6	9	2	11	0	33
36	ZagzKrak	101	73	28	10	1	11	0	33
37	Zaga	92	85	7	1	11	10	0	34
38	Zags11	89	84	5	2	10	12	0	36
39	RenoZag	85	81	4	6	7	13	0	39
40	Psychozag	84	80	4	7	6	13	0	39
41	Zagger	100	70	30	9	4	13	0	39
42	Hoopaholic	78	70	8	13	4	9	0	43
43	Mantua	85	83	2	6	9	15	0	45
44	Francis the Goat	77	71	6	14	3	11	0	45
45	Snowkane	82	81	1	9	7	16	0	48
46	GrizZag	92	90	2	1	16	15	0	49
47	ZagsGoZags	84	85	1	7	11	16	10	62
48	upan8th	86	89	3	5	15	14	10	64
49	DixieZag	82	86	4	9	12	13	10	65
50	Katman50	77	81	4	14	7	13	10	65
51	rennis	69	74	5	22	0	12	10	66
52	TexasZagFan	98	94	4	7	20	13	0	67

As always, if I missed you, messed up your score please let me know so I can fix the underlying data.

[GonzaGAW]

- hey, my first "guess" of the year, is a good one.
- well done BayAreaZagFan

[Reborn]

Can anyone help me? I still do not understand how LIZF comes up with the final score?

[LongIslandZagFan]

Difference on Zag Score * 2 + Difference on Opponent score *2 + predicted spread difference + 10 points if you pick the wrong winner.

[GonzaGAW]

Can anyone help me? I still do not understand how LIZF comes up with the final score?

your prediction was 84-69, a 15 point spread
your zag score was off by 7 (times 2 is 14)
your wildcat score was of by 5 (times 2 is 10)
your spread was of by 2 (times 1 is 2)
since you picked the correct winner, no plus 10 penalty.

14 plus 10 plus 2, is your score or 26, which in this case beat the average score of 31.92 across the board.

[LongIslandZagFan]

OK... Time for the Duke results.

Zags won 89-87!!

So here is what is interesting... Overall score average was lower than Zona game with a substantial amount of you guys taking the 10 point. Score average for the Duke game was 31.69

We undershot the Zags by 4.62 and undershot Duke by a whisker under two. We missed the spread by 5.11

Here are the means:

Zags 83.3871
Duke 85.0161
Spread 7.1129

We had not one... but two perfect scores. Thespywhozagged me takes first on the first to post it tiebreaker. Second was White Lightning. Third place on tie-breaks was Zagceo. LOTS of honorable mentions for being sub-20 (bolded sub-10):

Alum08,ProVeeZag,ZenZag,Hoopaholic,ZagzKrak,amaron izag,
Kitzbuel,Zagregious,JPW314159,23dpg,Zagger,Reborn, Zagricultural,LongIslandZagFan,NotoriousZ,dazags,Z aga,former1dog,BigBlahla,Stevet75,TacomaZAG

Here are the standings for the Duke game:

Rank	User name	Zag Score	Opp Score	Spread	Zag Delta	Opp Delta	Spread Delta	Wrong Winner	Score
1	Thespywhozaggedme	89	87	2	0	0	0	0	0
2	White lightning	89	87	2	0	0	0	0	0
3	Zagceo	89	88	1	0	1	1	0	3
4	Alum08	88	87	1	1	0	1	0	3
5	ProVeeZag	88	85	3	1	2	1	0	7
6	ZenZag	88	85	3	1	2	1	0	7
7	Hoopaholic	91	88	3	2	1	1	0	7
8	ZagzKrak	91	89	2	2	2	0	0	8
9	amaronizag	89	84	5	0	3	3	0	9
10	Kitzbuel	92	89	3	3	2	1	0	11
11	Zagregious	90	84	6	1	3	4	0	12
12	JPW314159	92	90	2	3	3	0	0	12
13	23dpg	88	83	5	1	4	3	0	13
14	Zagger	88	83	5	1	4	3	0	13
15	Reborn	93	88	5	4	1	3	0	13
16	Zagricultural	93	88	5	4	1	3	0	13
17	LongIslandZagFan	87	83	4	2	4	2	0	14
18	NotoriousZ	85	84	1	4	3	1	0	15
19	dazags	88	82	6	1	5	4	0	16
20	Zaga	85	83	2	4	4	0	0	16
21	former1dog	95	87	8	6	0	6	0	18
22	BigBlahla	84	83	1	5	4	1	0	19
23	Stevet75	94	91	3	5	4	1	0	19
24	TacomaZAG	94	91	3	5	4	1	0	19
25	willandi	84	82	2	5	5	0	0	20
26	Snowkane	84	81	3	5	6	1	0	23
27	STIETZ543	92	82	10	3	5	8	0	24
28	Bartruff1	86	80	6	3	7	4	0	24
29	BayAreaZagFan	87	79	8	2	8	6	0	26
30	titopoet	87	79	8	2	8	6	0	26
31	GU69	85	90	5	4	3	3	10	27
32	TexasZagFan	98	88	10	9	1	8	0	28
33	RenoZag	82	88	6	7	1	4	10	30
34	WenatcheeZag	81	87	6	8	0	4	10	30
35	Zags67	82	79	3	7	8	1	0	31
36	gueastcoast	82	79	3	7	8	1	0	31
37	All Weather Fan	81	80	1	8	7	1	0	31
38	Radbooks	81	85	4	8	2	2	10	32
39	Mantua	98	94	4	9	7	2	0	34
40	Bocco	84	77	7	5	10	5	0	35
41	Stache	80	85	5	9	2	3	10	35
42	ZagsObserver	84	92	8	5	5	6	10	36
43	TravelinZag	83	77	6	6	10	4	0	36
44	Akzag	85	75	10	4	12	8	0	40
45	Sarenyon	77	89	12	12	2	10	10	48
46	rennis	76	82	6	13	5	4	10	50
47	Psychozag	74	86	12	15	1	10	10	52
48	zagdontzig	78	73	5	11	14	3	0	53
49	ZagsGoZags	74	85	11	15	2	9	10	53
50	zagssuperfan	72	87	15	17	0	13	10	57
51	CdAZagFan	78	94	16	11	7	14	10	60
52	DixieZag	72	88	16	17	1	14	10	60
53	HenneZag	72	84	12	17	3	10	10	60
54	GonzagasaurausFlex	74	71	3	15	16	1	0	63
55	FuManShoes	72	89	17	17	2	15	10	63
56	GeorgiaZagFan	72	89	17	17	2	15	10	63
57	zagsfanforlife	70	86	16	19	1	14	10	64
58	YukonJack	72	90	18	17	3	16	10	66
59	Mr. Vulture	70	81	11	19	6	9	10	69
60	Zags11	68	85	17	21	2	15	10	71
61	upan8th	73	93	20	16	6	18	10	72
62	BogoZags	70	91	21	19	4	19	10	75

As always... I am human and do make mistakes. If I missed you... messed up your score... PM me so I can fix the underlying data.

[LongIslandZagFan]

Just want to say thanks to all of you for being patient with me on the turnaround time. Had a business meeting Tuesday night, family from DC on Wednesday night and then was at my in-laws on Thursday.

[Zagricultural]

Hey I'm feeling pretty good about those three picks. 2nd, 9th, and 16th! Thanks for doing this!

[Zagceo]

Thanks LIZF!

gotta be a record of sorts...22 picks against Zags!

congrats Spy and White

[Reborn]

your prediction was 84-69, a 15 point spread
your zag score was off by 7 (times 2 is 14)
your wildcat score was of by 5 (times 2 is 10)
your spread was of by 2 (times 1 is 2)
since you picked the correct winner, no plus 10 penalty.

14 plus 10 plus 2, is your score or 26, which in this case beat the average score of 31.92 across the board.

Thanks a lot. i REALLY appreciate it.