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  1. Excellent interview Podcast with Focus on Future

    Here's an excellent conversation (from 3/29, perhaps conducted 3/28) between Dr. Peter Attia (MD with experience at NIH, Johns Hopkins, Stanford) and Dr. Michael Osterholm.

    ( Michael Osterholm,...
  2. Off by a factor of 64x this time. That's not just...

    Off by a factor of 64x this time. That's not just a detail.

    421 people on average square block in Manhattan.

    https://i.ibb.co/xLN9m27/Screen-Shot-2020-04-02-at-9-46-48-PM.png
    ...
  3. You are incorrect by a factor of 2. 37% of...

    You are incorrect by a factor of 2.

    37% of Germans are 20-50yrs old.


    In fact spain's 20-50yr (41% of its people) olds make up more of their country than Germany's.

    So is it the border...
  4. Germany isn't really an outlier, or won't be for...

    Germany isn't really an outlier, or won't be for long. You are grasping at straws to explain a phenomenon (German outlier status) that is disappearing. Their situation is and has been trending...
  5. Don't let get facts get in the way of your...

    Don't let get facts get in the way of your theory, but Germany closed its borders between the 16th and 18th. After the following nearby countries had done so:

    The Czech Republic, Cyprus, Denmark,...
  6. Zagdade84 - Great post. I too have very much...

    Zagdade84 - Great post. I too have very much appreciated the civility.

    I honestly can't think of any category system that would be "fair" to Semenya, or the 2-in-10,000 people born with her...
  7. How do you think "female" or "born female" should...

    How do you think "female" or "born female" should be bounded or defined? Is it what your parents raised you to think of yourself as? What your body appears subjectively most similar to from the...
  8. In the above quote from a few weeks ago, Abe...

    In the above quote from a few weeks ago, Abe claims he speaks (or spoke) with Anthony Fauci. Perhaps he should run this quote (from 3/24, well into quarantine) past Mr. Fauci:
  9. Abe, a physician, has become and now remains my...

    Abe, a physician, has become and now remains my favorite contributor to read.
  10. Fewer than 1 in 4 patients who have been put on...

    Fewer than 1 in 4 patients who have been put on ventilators have ultimately survived.
    That implies that ventilators are extremely costly relative to life years saved but perhaps the slight upside is...
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    Garza can’t defend or stretch the floor. Not many...

    Garza can’t defend or stretch the floor. Not many low post plodders in the NBA this decade.

    Miller the crooked has underperformed more relative to his player talent, than any coach in America in...
  12. Your recollection of the situation is a common...

    Your recollection of the situation is a common one but not based in reality.

    There isn’t any overlap or anything close to overlap between female and male testosterone levels. A high-T female (XX...
  13. Caster Semenya is chromosomally XY not XX and has...

    Caster Semenya is chromosomally XY not XX and has undescended testicles.
    https://www.letsrun.com/news/2019/05/what-no-one-is-telling-you-about-caster-semenya-she-has-xy-chromosomes/


    She has...
  14. The math isn't very hard and we all have...

    The math isn't very hard and we all have calculators. I don't understand why the recent public statements from the US gov about 100,000-200,000+ deaths surprised people. It's low-end optimism.

    In...
  15. Confirmed cases increase rate is limited by our...

    Confirmed cases increase rate is limited by our testing capacity, with the bottleneck really being the federal (FDA) certification of the tests. If that capacity is only growing at a certain rate,...
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    Do you have a site that captures prior days'...

    Do you have a site that captures prior days' data?

    I have been following closely on https://ncov2019.live/ and it seems like USA deaths and USA new confirmed infections (not actual infections)...
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    If the NBA draft is pushed back...

    If the NBA draft is pushed back I imagine that the GU trio if Ayayi/Petrusev/Kispert will all wait a little longer than normal before announcing one way or the other.

    These guys are smart, their...
  18. This is the kind of game-changing tech that I...

    This is the kind of game-changing tech that I think would be needed and widely used in order to have a semi-normal season: portable testing.

    I agree it's far too early to know specifics. Even...
  19. This is probably not a very illuminating or...

    This is probably not a very illuminating or useful framing of the likely situation.

    Was there a "season" this year? It depends on one's definition. Most conferences didn't complete their own...
  20. traditional/basic FG% ignores freethrows and...

    traditional/basic FG% ignores freethrows and ignores that 3pt shots are worth 50% more than 2pt shots.

    True Shooting percent (TS%) is the better measure.

    Having a very high traditional/basic...
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    Tariq Owens And I agree with Zagblue, Grad...

    Tariq Owens


    And I agree with Zagblue, Grad Transfers are seldom top-100 level guys. If/when they are valuable starters on top-10 teams, GU has done about as well as anyone. (Matthews, Wesley,...
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    I wonder if any other school’s b-ball team has...

    I wonder if any other school’s b-ball team has nearly as many alumni moving to its city after they graduate and play professionally somewhere. The sheer number of players who come back to Spokane is...
  23. I like it, Reno. This is not like the Flu....

    I like it, Reno. This is not like the Flu. Survive and Advance. In a week or a month the red line on this chart will be tall enough as to make the annual flu lines just blurry squiggles along the X...
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    Well put. This year, some fans and even...

    Well put.

    This year, some fans and even writers (Medcalf @ ESPN) suggested that Kansas be crowned the national champs, or at least hang a banner. Heck, they were #1 in Kenpom, #1 in the polls, #1...
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    I just like how this doctor has the hubris to...

    I just like how this doctor has the hubris to call others dumb after publicly making the string of posts they made 2-3 weeks ago, like:


    (death rate already established at ~10x, or 1000% of the...
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