Daye's DraftExpress profile updated

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  • BBskorer
    Kennel Club Material
    • Mar 2007
    • 171

    Daye's DraftExpress profile updated

    link
    Freshman forward Austin Daye isn’t getting nearly as much hype as some of the more highly touted freshman in his class, and he’s not getting as many minutes either, but he still has shown some outstanding potential in the early going this season, and is definitely a player to keep an eye on in the years to come. Standing 6’10 with outstanding length while being a very smooth athlete, Daye is very intriguing as a prospect. At first look, the 190-pounder with the baggy t-shirt may look very raw, but as you spend more time watching him, you start to notice the various offensive skills he’s already developing in his arsenal.

    When analyzing Daye’s game, one of the first things to stand out has to be his jump shot. With his length and elevation, Daye has an extremely high release point on his shot, and it doesn’t hurt that he completely maximizes that release point with the upward trajectory of his shooting motion. Strong, complimentary adjectives get thrown out a lot when assessing prospects, but in this case, there are only a handful of three-point shooters in the NBA today that have a higher release point on their shot than Daye (Dirk Nowitzki, Rasheed Wallace, Mehmet Okur, Andrea Bargnani, James Jones), and we’re talking about a player that projects primarily as a small forward. It doesn’t hurt that he’s also been very effective from deep in the early going, hitting 43% of his shots on 30 attempts. When he gets his feet set and has time to be deliberate with his motion, Daye’s shot looks as smooth as it gets. That shooting ability has also translated to the free-throw line, where he’s shooting a very strong 91% in the early going, on a noteworthy 67 attempts.

    Daye’s shooting is not without flaws, but his effectiveness in the early going has been pretty strong and his overall potential in this area is immense. To reach that potential, one thing Daye will need to work on is better consistency with his release, specifically when pulling up or being rushed by a contesting defender. In these situations, he often doesn’t hold his follow through and doesn’t always have a picture perfect release, and his accuracy suffers because of it. It should be noted, though, that with his upward motion and high release, Daye doesn’t need much space to get off his shot, and shows some nice flashes of putting up shots when closely guarded, having good, but very inconsistent success with it.

    Looking further at his pull-up shooting, Daye definitely has some problems with decision-making at this stage in terms of shot selection. He can be prone to taking unwise shots, such as spotting up from NBA three-point range in transition with no one on his team under the basket or forcing up a 15-foot jumper off the dribble when guarded by two or three defenders. To his credit, he’ll occasionally swish some of these shots and make them look easy, but more often than not at this stage, it winds up in a bad miss, especially against top conference competition. Daye in general has shown less success thus far with his dribble-drive and pull-up game against stronger competition, looking much better against weaker competition. It’s no coincidence that four of his five single-digit scoring games on the season came against Washington State, Texas Tech, UConn, and Oklahoma.

    Moving on to the rest of Daye’s dribble-drive game, he shows very nice potential here, and shows flashes of nice ball-handling skills for a 6’10 freshman. He looks fairly comfortable in space with both his left and right hands, can mix in some crossovers and hesitation dribbles, and can take the ball to the basket or pull up from mid-range off the dribble. This aspect of his game is not without problems, though, as his dribble isn’t especially low to the ground, he has trouble adjusting directions at times, which has been exploited against tougher competition with him committing charges, and he can struggle a bit with his timing when going into his first dribble, often faking and then moving his foot before putting the ball on the ground, or carrying on his first dribble, resulting in traveling violations. All in all, he shows some very nice flashes in space, and definitely shows nice potential here, but really needs to work on refining his dribble to consistently use this facet of his game against strong competition.

    Daye gets to the basket a decent amount, usually on his dribble-drive or in transition, and he shows very good touch at the rim along with the ability to score with his left and right hand at times. He makes good use of his athleticism and length here, and will take advantage of using the glass when necessary. He also shows a very nice right-handed floater in the lane, which is of great use to him with his body not being up for much physical contact just yet. One especially impressive play against Pepperdine that illustrated his potential around the rim was a pushed ball situation where Daye waiting on the right block for the ball; he caught a pass and on one small step without much momentum, and easily jumped from outside the painted area on the right block, only to reverse it off the glass on the other side of the rim by using his hangtime and length.

    As for the rest of his offensive game, Daye shows a strong desire to get the ball whenever he’s on the court, moving fairly well without the ball and constantly calling for the ball. He’s shown some bad tendencies in seemingly making his decision to shoot before he puts the ball on the floor, but has done a much better job in his past two games of using his pretty good court vision by making some quick passes to open teammates for assists.

    On the defensive end, Daye has shown quite a few disturbing tendencies early in the season, in terms of both fundamentals and effort level. With fundamentals on the perimeter, while he occasionally shows an aggressive defensive stance, he’s not consistent in shuffling his feet to move laterally, makes some unnecessary swipes at the ball leading to blow-bys, doesn’t consistently keep his center of gravity low, and doesn’t seem to have the best reflexes yet. In the post, Daye does a better job maximizing his effectiveness, being active with his quickness and length in switching from fronting to straight defense, while also using his length to deflect entry passes when he’s behind his man. He might be able to get away with some gimmick defense like this for a little while at the next level if forced to defend post players, but if he wants to play the power forward position, he’s going to need to improve considerably in standard post defense. When he does get caught in the backdown situation on the block, he shows no concept of leverage or fundamentals, and with his very small build and lack of strength, he is backed down with virtually no effort whatsoever. To Daye’s credit, his defensive effort seems improved as the season has gone on, and he’s showing a better effort moving his feet on the perimeter and making better use of basic fundamentals. Daye also has some nice potential in terms of blocking shots and making deflections with his length, athleticism, and pretty good sense of timing on shot blocks, showing some proficiency already in this facet of his game.

    All in all, Daye shows some outstanding potential, though he definitely has some notable concerns with his game right now, primarily in his decision-making and his slight build. Part of the decision-making can be attributed to normal freshman mistakes, and it’s something he can improve on as the season goes on, but he is very lacking in strength and size, and he definitely has a lot more room to put on weight, which is why he should probably stay at least another year in school, where he could also do a good job further refining the fundamentals of his game. He also hasn’t been given a huge role yet with Gonzaga, as coach Mark Few appears to be taking his time rather than just handing him the starting job, though Daye has averaged 19.6 minutes per game and played in all of Gonzaga’s games thus far coming off the bench. Daye could always make a bold decision and come out after this season, where it’d be tough to see him falling out of the lottery with his tools and physical attributes, though he has a chance of being a top-5 pick next year if he makes some nice strides with his game, and that would probably be best for his long-term development, as it’s tough to see him competing in the NBA so soon with his very lacking strength and size.
    ..here..comes..the..BOOM!!!
  • MickMick
    Zag for Life
    • Apr 2007
    • 6541

    #2
    Accurate evaluation. Author did his homework.

    I agree that Austin would benefit by getting lower with respect to defense and dribbling.
    His dribble is too high...too tall...too slow. When moving laterally on defense he plays too high. There is a time to play tall and a time to play low. In this respect Sacre and Daye seem to be opposites. Sacre doesn't get tall when required...Daye doesn't get low when required....

    With respect to a "ready position" you see it over and over in sports. In football it is the "hitting position". A common criticism of running backs is that they "run too high" or lineman that don't get their "pad level low". You see it in tennis players. Volleyball players. The slight knee bend, slight bend at the waist, head up, feet spread to shoulder width (or wider) , the elbows just above waist level, the hands at chest level (further spread for pass denial in basketball). A reactionary position allowing quick movement in any direction.

    But I am confident that the freshmen will get it worked out in the end.

    Just my personal view/observation.
    Last edited by MickMick; 01-17-2008, 09:48 AM.
    I miss Mike Hart

    Comment

    • ZagMania
      Professional Zag Fan
      • Feb 2007
      • 704

      #3
      I agree with MickMick, however I think they understated this part of his game a bit:

      Daye also has some nice potential in terms of blocking shots and making deflections with his length, athleticism, and pretty good sense of timing on shot blocks, showing some proficiency already in this facet of his game.

      Comment

      • CDC84
        Super Moderator
        • Feb 2007
        • 13083

        #4
        Surprised nothing was mentioned about his passing ability. He is an incredible passer for a wing......

        Comment

        • MickMick
          Zag for Life
          • Apr 2007
          • 6541

          #5
          Originally posted by CDC84 View Post
          Surprised nothing was mentioned about his passing ability. He is an incredible passer for a wing......

          Gotta agree with you there CDC. One of the first things that jumped out at me about Daye was his passing skill. Very, very good for a guy with such length. Those long arms don't inhibit him at all with respect to passing the ball.
          I miss Mike Hart

          Comment

          • MBZags
            Professional Zag Fan
            • Feb 2007
            • 585

            #6
            Honestly, I'd be completely shocked if he came out after this year and was still selected in the lottery.

            Comment

            • cair3
              Kennel Club Material
              • Feb 2007
              • 132

              #7
              I could see a team drafting him in the first round 10-25 if he came out this year, but they would be pissed off that they would have to wait a few years for him to mature on their pay roll instead of at gonzaga. Teams will deffinitly want him but they dont want to pay him yet when he is a few years away from EARNING his money at the NBA level. He would be drafted with a team hoping for solid contribution 2-3 years down the line. If he stays at GU a year or two he would be drafted with teams hoping for contribution immediatly or 1 year removed. I think he is smart and wont rush to the nba while college still presents a good challenge to him.

              pretty good assesment. I agree that the author could have said more about his passing ability. Given his ability to pass so well ( im not saying he is a great passer just that he has great passing ability) and get his shot off he can be groomed into a go to player who can either shoot it himself or create for others in crunch time situations. He just needs stregnth and practice to put it all together and survive against stronger defenders when the refs allow the game to be played physically.

              Comment

              • thespywhozaggedme
                Banned
                • Feb 2007
                • 9417

                #8
                Originally posted by MBZags View Post
                Honestly, I'd be completely shocked if he came out after this year and was still selected in the lottery.
                Just to clarify, would you be shocked if he came out after this season or shocked if he was a lottery pick? Because I guarantee you if OKD (Our Kevin Durant) came out this year he'd be a lottery pick despite being very puny. Teams draft very heavily on potential and Austin is an amazing basketball player in every sense.

                Comment

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