Tweet
I thought this was fun, from Deadspin. Picked it up from this Goodman tweet:
eff Goodman @GoodmanCBS 22m
Well, at least @GottliebShow beat someone. Then again, it was just @colincowherd: http://deadspin.com/which-pundit-suc...ment-471807464
Well, at least @GottliebShow beat someone. Then again, it was just @colincowherd: http://deadspin.com/which-pundit-suc...ment-471807464
The worst brackets belonged to Colin Cowherd, Michael Wilbon, Andy Katz, and Doug Gottlieb. Cowherd and Wilbon both got less than half their picks right, while all four of these pundits would have lost you more than 20% of your money had you bet on their picks.
Here are our final 2013 March Madness bracket rankings. We scored 32 pundits from ESPN, Yahoo, Sports Illustrated, and CBS Sports, throwing in President Obama for good fun. For a recap of the the first two rounds, see this post.
The first table ranks the pundits based on their average “Yield” of their 63 total picks, and the second table ranks the pundits based on their "Hit Rate." As a reminder, the Yield measures the average payout, using Vegas futures odds, had you placed $1 bets on each of the pundit’s selections. This approach fits well with March Madness, since it mimics bracket scoring systems that award extra points for predicting upsets. Hit Rate is simply the % of predictions that were correct. Given the large number of upsets this year, the rankings by Hit Rate and Yield turned out very different.
The first table ranks the pundits based on their average “Yield” of their 63 total picks, and the second table ranks the pundits based on their "Hit Rate." As a reminder, the Yield measures the average payout, using Vegas futures odds, had you placed $1 bets on each of the pundit’s selections. This approach fits well with March Madness, since it mimics bracket scoring systems that award extra points for predicting upsets. Hit Rate is simply the % of predictions that were correct. Given the large number of upsets this year, the rankings by Hit Rate and Yield turned out very different.
Comment