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2013 GU Bracket Watch
OK, with the end of the regular season approaching, it's that time of the year again. The Zags are approaching unprecedented levels of notoriety in terms of seeding and placement in the tourney, although there's still quite a bit of basketball to be played. Once again, here's a look at some of the finer details as March Madness approaches. Feel free to discuss (and make corrections).
2/22/2013
Gonzaga Bulldogs
Tournament Resume:
RPI Forecast by Expected Final Record:
Bracket Project Matrix Predictions (2/21/13 8:24 PM, n=86*):
Summary: Second 2-Seed
Mean Projection: 2.00
Median Projection: 2
Vote Distribution:
1-seed: 17 (19.77%)
2-seed: 53 (61.63%)
3-seed: 15 (17.44%)
4-seed: 1 (1.16%)
Predictions by the (historically) top 5 Bracketologists (that are making projections this year):
Lobofan: 2
Beer's Bracket: 2
Brackonomics: 2
Busting The Bracket: 2
Bracketville: 2
Teams in the S-Curve Neighborhood:
Potential Second Round Opponents based on current projections:
P.S. St. Mary's is projected the fourth 12-seed, BYU is currently not in consideration.
*Note that only 29 of the 86 bracket projections are from 2/20 or later. Many update every Monday. In the past two weeks, the mean vote for the Zags has improved steadily from near 3.00 to 2.00. There were zero 1-seed votes two weeks ago (now 17).
2/22/2013
Gonzaga Bulldogs
Tournament Resume:
Code:
Record: 26-2 overall, 13-0 conference RPI: #11 SOS: 59 NCSOS: 20 Top 25 (AP) 2-1 RPI 1-50 6-2 RPI 51-100 5-0 RPI 101-150 4-0 RPI 151-200 4-0 RPI 200+ 6-0
Code:
[U]Final Record W-L pctg. Expected RPI[/U] 30-2 93.75% 6.1 29-3 90.62% 8.5 28-3 90.32% 15.7 28-4 87.50% 12.6 27-4 87.10% 18.8 27-5 84.38% 17.4 26-5 83.87% 24.1
Summary: Second 2-Seed
Mean Projection: 2.00
Median Projection: 2
Vote Distribution:
1-seed: 17 (19.77%)
2-seed: 53 (61.63%)
3-seed: 15 (17.44%)
4-seed: 1 (1.16%)
Predictions by the (historically) top 5 Bracketologists (that are making projections this year):
Lobofan: 2
Beer's Bracket: 2
Brackonomics: 2
Busting The Bracket: 2
Bracketville: 2
Teams in the S-Curve Neighborhood:
Code:
[U]Seed Team Mean Vote[/U] 1 Indiana 1.05 1 Miami (FLA.) 1.06 1 Duke 1.27 1 Florida 1.47 2 Michigan State 1.65 [B]2 Gonzaga 2.00[/B] 2 Michigan 2.05 2 Kansas 2.35 3 Syracuse 2.58 3 Louisville 2.84 3 Arizona 2.92
Code:
[U]Seed Team [/U] 14 South Dakota State 14 Valparaiso 14 Davidson 14 Harvard 15 Stony Brook 15 Long Beach State 15 Montana 15 Niagara 16 Northeastern 16 Mercer 16 Robert Morris 16 High Point 16 Norfolk State 16 Southern
*Note that only 29 of the 86 bracket projections are from 2/20 or later. Many update every Monday. In the past two weeks, the mean vote for the Zags has improved steadily from near 3.00 to 2.00. There were zero 1-seed votes two weeks ago (now 17).
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