View Full Version : GU/St. Mary's line

02-08-2012, 04:03 PM
GU -3, opened, currently -2 1/2

02-08-2012, 06:34 PM
I could see this line move toward Even by gametime...Vegas basically saying, put money on SMC money line to bettors.

02-08-2012, 11:37 PM
What does KenPom say?

Angelo Roncalli
02-09-2012, 05:26 AM
The line is back to -3 this AM.

O/U is 140

KenPom: GU 71 SMC 69

02-09-2012, 06:07 AM
Take SMC with points and definitely take the over. If it swings to even... Take the Zags. Gonna be a tight one I think.

02-09-2012, 06:13 AM
No bets on this one but if I had to, I'd definately go GU's way. Better talent and huge home court advantage versus a team that is playing better currently. Close call.

A little off-topic but the betting public is not nearly as confident about #1 Kentucky as I am. They are playing great right now.

UK's last 4 games: Going by memory on the lines.

at LSU (13-10) favored by 10 wins by 24
Tenn favored by 15 wins by 25
at S Carolina (9-14) favored by 12 wins by 34
Florida favored by 9 wins by 20

Hard to believe UK is only a 10-12 point favorite against their leagues bottom feeders and near .500 teams (with the exception of a good Florida team.) Sign me up for any more of those lines.

02-09-2012, 06:26 AM
This is not the kind of game a smart investor will bet. Too much raw emotion on both sides. If I was betting I would take SMC, but hopefully GU will play for God and Country and figure it out and win in the end.


Go Bulldogs! Get Bigger!

02-09-2012, 06:38 AM
Was going to say the same thing as 75 - either one of these teams could beat the other by 15 at this point. SMC has shown they can win on the road and are the better team right now - GU rarely losses at home and can play a complete game. I know that can be said about a lot of games and there are a lot of games real betters will not touch.

If someone forced me to make a pick - I would say that if it is -3 than take SMC giving up 3 means a last possession game could still result in a GU win and I think a last possession game is a more traditional GU-SMC game.

02-09-2012, 01:24 PM
Current Betting Trends from Sportsbook.com:
(Heavy Betting on SMC ML and the Over, pretty even on spread)
11:05 PM








02-09-2012, 01:35 PM
I would definitely bet SMC ML and over as well. That is a good sign, since if everyone is doing that, Vegas will make sure it goes the other way =).

ZagMan in Philly
02-09-2012, 03:01 PM
I am giving -3.5...
We will ROLL...BIG!
Go Zags!!!!

02-09-2012, 04:16 PM
I would not bet against the Zags at home. Look at the record.

02-09-2012, 04:24 PM
Remember zags are giving 3.5... They can win by three and you'd still win on a SMC bet. Safest money though is the over.

02-09-2012, 04:31 PM
Rob Jones O/U Points and rebounds 25.5
Delladova O/U Points 14.5
St. Marys O/U Points 67.5

Wow. Jones better not get those numbers (unless we hold Delly to under 10 points) or that will be bad news for the good guys.

02-09-2012, 05:40 PM
Here's a gamblers view of tonight's game. This is featured at the site Vegas.com, which also has separate pix of della and Few

Saint Mary's at Gonzaga
February 9, 2012
By Brian Edwards

In terms of mid-major rivalries over the last decade, none have surpassed the intensity we see when WCC powerhouses Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga meet up. These schools are set to square off again tonight in a crucial showdown at the McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane.

BetOnline.com opened Gonzaga (18-4 SU, 9-12-1 ATS) as a three-point home favorite with a total of 140. As of early this afternoon, most books had the Bulldogs favored by 3 1/2 with the total slightly adjusted to 139 1/2. Gamblers can take Saint Mary's to win outright for a plus-150 return (risk $100 to win $150).

Mark Few’s squad will have revenge on its mind after taking an 83-62 shellacking at Saint Mary’s on Jan. 12. The Bulldogs have won five of six since then, but that setback prompted a 0-6-1 ATS slide coming into this contest.

Saint Mary’s (22-2 SU, 11-8 ATS) has won 12 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted defeat since a Dec. 22 loss to Baylor in Las Vegas. The Gaels are coming off an 84-73 non-covering victory over San Diego as 19-point home favorites.


Randy Bennett’s squad is led by junior guard Matthew Dellavedova, who is averaging a team-high 15.5 points and 6.4 assists per game. Dellavedova had 17 points, six rebounds and five assists in Saturday’s win over the Toreros. He dropped 26 points and six assists on Gonzaga in the aforementioned blowout victory nearly a month ago.

Rob Jones, a transfer from USD, is a senior forward with excellent skills and plenty of muscle to mix it up in the lane. Jones is averaging 14.8 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. He only had two points against Gonzaga earlier this year but did have a quality floor game with 11 rebounds and a season-high eight assists.

Gonzaga is led by junior forward Elias Harris, who had 17 points and 11 boards at Saint Mary’s. Harris is averaging 13.1 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. The Bulldogs also have one of the nation’s top post players in senior center Robert Sacre, who is averaging 11.7 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. The seven-footer was plagued by foul trouble in the first meeting, scoring only two points in 18 minutes of playing time.

Saint Mary’s is in just its third underdog situation of the season, going 1-1 both SU and ATS in the two previous spots. The Gaels won outright at BYU but lost 72-59 to Baylor as three-point ‘dogs.

The ‘under’ is 14-7-1 overall for Gonzaga, 8-3-1 in its home games. However, we should note that the ‘over’ has cashed in back-to-back games for the Bulldogs.

The ‘over’ is 10-8 overall for Saint Mary’s, but the ‘under’ is on a 4-2 run in the Gaels’ last six contests. The ‘under’ is also 4-2 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these schools.

Tip-off is slated for 11:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.


02-09-2012, 08:45 PM
Crap... So much for my prognostication ability. Over looking really dicey.

ZagMan in Philly
02-09-2012, 09:08 PM
We Rolled...sweet victory and the cover as well.
Go Zags!