Was wearing my GU shirt at the grocery store today when I was engaged in a little debate with the checkout clerk regarding the status of our program. The clerk made the usual "Gonzaga is overrated" claim and I responded by saying we've had good success in non-conference against top 25 teams....
So I went home and looked up the stats and am actually quite shocked.....Here is our record the last 9 years (as far back as Ken Pom's database goes) against teams he rates in the top 25 (end of season overall rating).
#8 San Diego St L 79-76 Home
#18 Illinois L 73-61 Semi-Home
#15 Notre Dame L 83-79 Away
#13 BYU L 89-67 Neutral
#23 Michigan St. L 75-71 Away
#9 Wisconsin W 74-61 Neutral
#1 Duke L 76-41 Neutral
#24 FSU W 67-60 Neutral
#4 Syracuse L 87-65 Neutral
#3 Uconn L 88-83 Semi-Home
#2 Memphis L 68-50 Home
#1 UNC L 98-77 Neutral
#22 Uconn W 85-82 Semi-Away
#10 WSU L 51-47 Home
#14 Tennessee L 82-72 Semi-Home
#2 Memphis L 81-73 Away
#20 Davidson L 82-76 Neutral
#1 UNC W 82-74 Neutral
#25 Butler L 79-71 Neutral
#21 Texas W 87-77 Neutral
#11 Duke L 61-54 Neutral
#9 Memphis L 78-77 Home
#16 Indiana L 70-57 Neutral
#4 Uconn L 65-63 Neutral
#13 UW L 99-95 Away
#9 Memphis L 83-72 Away
#3 UCLA L 73-71 Neutral
#2 Illinois L 89-72 Neutral
#15 UW W 99-87 Home
#19 Georgia Tech W 85-73 Neutral
#8 OSU W 78-75 Semi-Away
#6 Saint Joe's L 73-66 Neutral
#19 Maryland W 82-68 Semi-Away
#16 Stanford L 87-80 Semi-Away
#22 Nevada L 91-72 Neutral
#2 Kentucky L 80-72 Neutral
#18 Georgia L 95-83 Semi-Away
#20 Saint Joe's L 79-78 Home
#4 Arizona L 96-95 Neutral
By my count that's 9 wins out of 39 games (23% win percentage) against top teams the past 9 years. Granted, only 8 home/semi-home games but I still would have expected to see a win rate much closer to 40 percent in these contests. Is anyone else shocked by this number?
So I went home and looked up the stats and am actually quite shocked.....Here is our record the last 9 years (as far back as Ken Pom's database goes) against teams he rates in the top 25 (end of season overall rating).
#8 San Diego St L 79-76 Home
#18 Illinois L 73-61 Semi-Home
#15 Notre Dame L 83-79 Away
#13 BYU L 89-67 Neutral
#23 Michigan St. L 75-71 Away
#9 Wisconsin W 74-61 Neutral
#1 Duke L 76-41 Neutral
#24 FSU W 67-60 Neutral
#4 Syracuse L 87-65 Neutral
#3 Uconn L 88-83 Semi-Home
#2 Memphis L 68-50 Home
#1 UNC L 98-77 Neutral
#22 Uconn W 85-82 Semi-Away
#10 WSU L 51-47 Home
#14 Tennessee L 82-72 Semi-Home
#2 Memphis L 81-73 Away
#20 Davidson L 82-76 Neutral
#1 UNC W 82-74 Neutral
#25 Butler L 79-71 Neutral
#21 Texas W 87-77 Neutral
#11 Duke L 61-54 Neutral
#9 Memphis L 78-77 Home
#16 Indiana L 70-57 Neutral
#4 Uconn L 65-63 Neutral
#13 UW L 99-95 Away
#9 Memphis L 83-72 Away
#3 UCLA L 73-71 Neutral
#2 Illinois L 89-72 Neutral
#15 UW W 99-87 Home
#19 Georgia Tech W 85-73 Neutral
#8 OSU W 78-75 Semi-Away
#6 Saint Joe's L 73-66 Neutral
#19 Maryland W 82-68 Semi-Away
#16 Stanford L 87-80 Semi-Away
#22 Nevada L 91-72 Neutral
#2 Kentucky L 80-72 Neutral
#18 Georgia L 95-83 Semi-Away
#20 Saint Joe's L 79-78 Home
#4 Arizona L 96-95 Neutral
By my count that's 9 wins out of 39 games (23% win percentage) against top teams the past 9 years. Granted, only 8 home/semi-home games but I still would have expected to see a win rate much closer to 40 percent in these contests. Is anyone else shocked by this number?
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