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VinnyZag
03-04-2011, 07:58 AM
According to Basketball Prospectus (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1528), GU has a 56.9 percent chance of winning the WCC tournament. St. Mary's is the second choice at 36.3 percent.

Here's what they say about the Zags:


What allowed Gonzaga to turn around this season? There are a variety of explanations, including health and personnel, but the simplest is the Zags' in-season improvement at the defensive end of the floor.

tightface
03-04-2011, 01:53 PM
From Kevin Pelton at BP:

The rest of the field hopes to play spoiler, but Ken Pomeroy's log-5 predictions indicate that's an extreme long shot. There is just a 6.8 percent chance that anyone besides Gonzaga and St. Mary's walks away with the auto bid; for that matter, given the WCC's top seed-friendly format, the vast majority of scenarios have the Bulldogs and the Gaels meeting in Monday's title game. Should that come to pass, St. Mary's would wear the home whites as the nominal No. 1 seed, but both Pomeroy's season-long numbers and John Gasaway's in-conference Tuesday Truths suggest that Gonzaga out to be considered a solid favorite.

What allowed Gonzaga to turn around this season? There are a variety of explanations, including health and personnel, but the simplest is the Zags' in-season improvement at the defensive end of the floor. As Gasaway has noted, this is the first Few team in recent memory and maybe ever that has won primarily with defense. Gonzaga is still nothing special when it comes to defending the three-point line (a challenge in a conference loaded with shooters), but makes up for it by stifling opponents in the paint. During conference play, teams shot just 40.7 percent inside the arc. For the season, the Bulldogs are top-10 in the country when it comes to stopping two-point attempts. With 7-footer Robert Sacre in the middle and another big man alongside him, Gonzaga's length makes life difficult for both post players and guards driving the paint.

Since injuring his Achilles early in the season, forward Elias Harris has never been quite right. During conference play, Few has been able to complement him with promising redshirt freshman Sam Dower. Dower has excellent touch. He's not only making 60.4 percent of his two-point attempts but is also dangerous at the line (82.0 percent). In the backcourt, redshirt freshman David Stockton has provided a steadier alternative to Demetri Goodson at the point and junior Marquise Carter offers athleticism on the wing.

lothar98zag
03-04-2011, 02:20 PM
Thanks!

I was wondering what the part said that I wasn't able to read...