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View Full Version : Vegas has GU by 8 1/2



gamagin
01-20-2011, 11:37 AM
Jan. 20 Gonzaga
6 p.m. at Santa Clara

caesars --- MGM --- Stations
Favorite GONZ ---GONZ--- GONZ
Point spread -8 -8 -8
Total 146o/u 146u 147o/u
Total money line -110 -115 -110

MDABE80
01-20-2011, 12:17 PM
I hope we beat them by 40 at their place. Kids now need to win convincingly. We need Keating to know he's too talkative.:)< --nice phrasing!

We will gather notice from media when we beat others by large amounts. We were down and hopefully we're back. Do not take the foot off the accelerator! Go Zags!

ZagNut08
01-20-2011, 12:17 PM
I would bet Zags to cover and go with the under.

Colbyspapa
01-20-2011, 12:31 PM
The Betting Man has Zags -10. I think he gets his lines from Vegas, so people must be betting Santa Clara.

I think we cover the 10 point spread and hit the over. I expect us to score 90 points tonight.

Saturday will be a tougher game. The box gym USF plays in gets loud, hot and cramped! You know the Dons will bring their best.

cjm720
01-20-2011, 12:46 PM
I place a wager about once a year, but that seems like guaranteed money to me. +15 rout!

sdzag
01-20-2011, 01:51 PM
The interesting line is Portland -3 to San Fran. Now that seems like an easy line to make some money on.

DCZag
01-20-2011, 02:07 PM
I'd put my money on us to cover and go the under

kclubfounder
01-20-2011, 02:08 PM
In my former life of gambling, when a line on my favorite team looked particularly good my bookie normally had a nice day.

Today's line looks good. That makes me nervous.

Zag4Hire
01-20-2011, 02:09 PM
The Betting Man has Zags -10. I think he gets his lines from Vegas, so people must be betting Santa Clara.

I think we cover the 10 point spread and hit the over. I expect us to score 90 points tonight.

Saturday will be a tougher game. The box gym USF plays in gets loud, hot and cramped! You know the Dons will bring their best.

Err, I am not seeing double digits anywhere. Closest was -9 but most are steady with -8 1/2 and there isn't a lot of action on the game to move the line that much. You are right, the USF game should be a closer contest and the line should be more in the neighborhood of -6 to -7.


The interesting line is Portland -3 to San Fran. Now that seems like an easy line to make some money on.

Careful, Sagarin differential is only 0.89 from the spread. Of course, GU's differential isn't tremendous either but I still like the chalk at -8.5. But if you are getting double digits on the road against a division foe that always brings it, I would lay off.

Zag4Hire
01-20-2011, 02:13 PM
In my former life of gambling, when a line on my favorite team looked particularly good my bookie normally had a nice day.

Today's line looks good. That makes me nervous.

Here's something to make you feel better: GU is 8-1-1 in last 8 ATS and SCU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.


I'd put my money on us to cover and go the under

Some items to weigh on O/U:

Under is 19-6-1 in GONZ last 26 overall.
Under is 10-4 in SCLAR last 14 vs. West Coast.
Over is 16-3 in the last 19 meetings.

zagfan08
01-20-2011, 02:24 PM
73% of the public on GU and the line drops from 9.5 to 8. Vegas thinks this game is going to be closer than the members on the board do.

kclubfounder
01-20-2011, 03:26 PM
Z4H,

You don't get it. The more you try to justify that it is a good bet, the more likely my bookie would have made money.

CaliforniaZaggin'
01-20-2011, 03:39 PM
Time to make up for the Hawk's missing the cover by one point last weekend against the Bears. C-note on the Zags.

kclubfounder
01-20-2011, 07:34 PM
If I only had the ability to trust my reverse instinct I'd be a rich man.