View Full Version : Early predictions on the NCAA tournament....

03-04-2009, 04:47 PM
So the brackets aren't out yet, but we have a while until our next game. What are people's early predictions of the final four, and what teams are the teams to look out for?

I really think Wake Forest, who will probably be a #2, has the potential to go to the final four, and could knock off a #1 just based on matchups. Big point guard, athletic forwards. They'll be very tough for Pitt, Oklahoma or UCONN, highly doubt they'd put them in the same bracket as UNC, if they get that far. They are just very young team and can play inconsistent, but I would not be surprised if they made it to the final four.

Duke is the other team I see making the final four, no matter which bracket they are in. Look for Duke to knock off UNC this weekend. Elliot Williams has been the late spark plug for that team and Gerald Henderson is playing FANTASTIC basketball. Its hard to see this team losing early, and even though their weakness is their frontcourt, their backcourt, like Gonzaga, can absolutely light it up on some nights.

LSU is a team that also can go deep into the tournament. They've put up tough teams in the past, and it seems every team Trent Johnson goes to is successful. I REALLY hope LSU is not in our bracket. They likely will be a #3 seed, so hopefully if we're in the same bracket, we're a #5. LSU has a few very talented players in Thornton, Mitchell, and Johnson, all NBA quality players. Even though the SEC sucks right now, LSU is playing great basketball and can really hang with any team.

What are other people's thoughts?

03-04-2009, 04:58 PM
my prediction: things are going to get wild this year! it's not going to be like last year where all #1 seeds advance. the elite teams are not far above the rest and so you may see 1 or 2 #1 seeds in there, but i would not at all be surprised to see a #5 or higher (GU at #5? nice!) in the final 4

03-04-2009, 05:05 PM
This is the least intimidating group of number one and two seeds I can think of in recent tournament history. I expect closer games, and I wouldn't be shocked to see half of the one's and two's go down the first weekend. It's going to be an entertaining tournament.

03-04-2009, 05:20 PM
This is a true year for pin the tail on the donkey. The title could wind up anywhere, much less the Elite 8 or Final 4. Could just as well be the Zags if we get on a roll -- that's the key, get a good draw and get on a roll.

03-04-2009, 06:26 PM
I have not considered brackets but UNC, Duke, UCLA and Kansas feel like final 4 material to me.

03-04-2009, 06:33 PM
I have noticed that a very strong recipe for success in the tournament are teams that have somewhat underachieved but have immense talent and experience.

Kansas last year, Florida 2007, UNC 2005-all those teams were absolutely loaded with talent and experience.

Based on my homemade predictor teams that may shock some people include: (not in any particular order)

St. Mary's
Notre Dame (if they get in)
Texas (if they get in)

Teams that I think have a legitimate chance to win it all:

UNC, Michigan State, Pitt, Connecticut

03-04-2009, 06:49 PM
I have not considered brackets but UNC, Duke, UCLA and Kansas feel like final 4 material to me.

We tend to see things similarly with a few exceptions

It all depends on the brackets, obviously. So I will go with who I think will be in the Elite 8 instead:

Gonzaga (we have improved, but if we get another bad draw with a hot 3 point team, forget it)
Michigan State
U Conn

Other contenders
Arizona State

Sleeper Team: Creighton (Look out above! Booker is amazing and they are coming together. If they win their conference, they are going to be a tough out). Please don't let them play Gonzaga or the UW before they play us.

UW and Gonzaga are both on a roll right now. And I think depending on the brackets we could meet them.

03-04-2009, 07:36 PM
I have not considered brackets but UNC, Duke, UCLA and Kansas feel like final 4 material to me.

Pitt and Memphis will round out the high end picks. Any team can go cold this time of the year. There are a few though.......that always play well........luck intervenes every year. Remember the title game last year???

03-04-2009, 07:40 PM
I have not considered brackets but UNC, Duke, UCLA and Kansas feel like final 4 material to me.

UCLA & Kansas will unlikely make it past the Sweet 16.

My Final Four (Likely will be all wrong lol)

North Carolina

Sleepers : FSU, Arizona State, Villianova, Wake Forest, Washington

Overrated teams that will take an early exit as a high seed :

Michigan State(even though Izzo brings his team to play every March), Oklahoma, Kansas, LSU, Xavier, Memphis

I really liked Notre Dame, but the only way they can get in is if they run through the Big East tourny, which is unlikely.

It's all about who clicks at the right time, but the main factor comes from MATCHUPS!

03-04-2009, 08:41 PM
Likely FF teams: Oklahoma, Memphis, UNC, UConn. If there were 5, I'd say Pitt, too.

Likely teams that everyone will think will do well but will not get out of the Sweet 16: Duke (no frontcourt), Wake Forest (too young - will have an off game vs somebody), Mich St, Az St (Hardin will get into foul trouble and then watch out...), UCLA (way overrated this year)

03-04-2009, 10:32 PM
My final 4 projections are: Pitt, Michigan St., North Carolina and Gonzaga.

Elite 8: The four above plus: Villanova, Louisville, Memphis, Duke

Sweet 16: The eight teams above plus: Washington, Kansas, UCLA, Missouri, LSU, Butler, Oklahoma, UCONN

Teams to watch out for in the first round: Utah, Arizona, California,
BYU, Davidson, St. Mary's, Arizona St., Marquette, Tennessee, Syracuse, Purdue, Illinois
:) :D

03-05-2009, 07:30 AM
Even though its a different team this year, I would NOT want to play Davidson in the 1st round this year. He doesn't have the same supporting cast, but Curry seems to have that knack for the spotlight and big games. He is more than capable of getting hot and putting up 40 for a couple of games in a row.

03-05-2009, 07:47 AM
My Final 4 as of 3/5/09:
North Carolina

03-05-2009, 08:36 AM
Davidson stands a good chance of not making the NCAA's unless they win their conference tournament. They only have a RPI of 68, and only possess one top 50 RPI win. Hard to imagine Steph Curry not being in the NCAA tourney, but it could happen.

03-05-2009, 09:16 AM
I don't see Michigan State going far in the tourney.

They struggled against Indiana the other night.

03-05-2009, 09:43 AM
The WCC will be a one bid league this year.

03-05-2009, 02:56 PM
My Final 4 as of 3/5/09:
North Carolina

That's pretty much my same thought too. Before Blake Griffin was hurt, I have Oklahoma there, but it just seems like they haven't been the same team even after he came back. UConn lost Dyson. I'd had them in FF if Dyson were still playing. My dark horse in Florida State. They are playing extremely well right now. If Patrick Mills comes back healthy by tourney time, and they draw a favorable seed, look out. When Mills is on, St. Mary might just be the best team on the west coast. I think the Huskies will make it to the sweet 16, but after that, it all depends on match up. I think GU will be in the sweet 16 too, and UCLA will also find a way to get there. So we might have 4 teams from the west coast in the sweet 16: St. Mary, GU, UCLA and UW. But they all have glaring weakness, so it's hard for me to see any one of those teams make it to the FF this year.

03-05-2009, 03:24 PM
Oklahoma looked like a tired basketball team against Mizzou. Their team has very little depth, and if B. Griffin gets into foul trouble, they're toast. I realize the same can said for other teams regarding their star player, but I think OU has less wiggle room.

I can see Louisville winning 4 games to get to Detroit, but I can't see them winning the title. They lack point guard play. Edgar Sosa is just not consistent enough at that position.

If Ty Lawson can keep himself from being exploited defensively, and if Danny Green can focus a little more on defense and less on his offense, I expect Carolina to win the title.

The team who I would like to see win the title if Gonzaga doesn't (of course) is Pitt. While the Panthers now have a couple of NBA caliber players in Young and Blair, I still feel they lack the talent of teams like Louisville, UConn, North Carolina, etc. What they are is the living, breathing definition of a TEAM. They are also tough as nails. It's really hard to dislike them if you like the game of basketball. I also like Jamie Dixon. Good guy, excellent coach.